Пересказ: 10,000 more US troops ready to hit the ground

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just want to welcome ryan dawson onto the show ryan dawson is a geopolitical expert he's been covering middle eastern geopolitics for decades also he's an expert on epstein and uh gfk rfk and 9 11 but this time we've got him on to speak about what's happening the war with iran the war in lebanon ryan thank you so much for taking your time out to join us how are you yeah the war on the gulf well yeah this is going to be the million dollar question and we're going to be the war on god's chosen lunatics give us an update what's going on then ryan we've not had you for a few days well can i show you this sweet video from hezbollah it's in the it's underneath will it get will it get us banned on uh youtube no no one dies it cuts off before that happens okay well we won't mention who it's from because i know there's been a lot of banning on youtube recently oh well it's um It's from a video game.

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just want to welcome ryan dawson onto the show ryan dawson is a geopolitical expert he's been covering middle eastern geopolitics for decades also he's an expert on epstein and uh gfk rfk and 9 11 but this time we've got him on to speak about what's happening the war with iran the war in lebanon ryan thank you so much for taking your time out to join us how are you yeah the war on the gulf well yeah this is going to be the million dollar question and we're going to be the war on god's chosen lunatics give us an update what's going on then ryan we've not had you for a few days well can i show you this sweet video from hezbollah it's in the it's underneath will it get will it get us banned on uh youtube no no one dies it cuts off before that happens okay well we won't mention who it's from because i know there's been a lot of banning on youtube recently oh well it's um um it's from a video game oh it's a video game let's check it out yeah it's from a video game okay okay okay okay it's almost better when you know what's coming right there There. See it. It's a good bird. You can see the column of smoke of one tank. And then another one just got nailed. So that was the Call of Duty video that you showed us. So yeah. Right. Yeah. What was that? In the game, 21 tanks from the enemy were destroyed by the party of God. Interesting. So I've actually read, Ryan, today that I believe that Hezbollah has now taken out 60 Markaba tanks. Yeah. I mean, 21 in a day, though.

Yeah. How can you not laugh? Why would you even put them there with odds like that? They got it down. Armor's over. You can't use tanks the way the GCL are using them. God shows analytics. Well, they have a unique ability of making the same mistake over and over and over again. So anyway, give us an update on what's happening. So we know the Markaba tanks have been taken out. We know they're struggling to take up a large part of the land. What else is happening? I just start with that because my favorite thing is the IDF getting blown to bits. Like nobody deserves it more. It's like I said at the beginning, the Gulf states are taking the brunt because they're easy, soft targets. And of course, the U.S. shifted its air defense to protect the chosen ones. But now that we're basically on the stage where Israel's getting most of the damage now because there's nothing left of the Gulf states. I mean, I guess Saudi Arabia has some bases in Jordan, but everything on the perimeter of Iran has been totally destroyed. And the UAE just keeps thinking. I don't know. I don't think they are thinking, actually. But from their lack of thinking, they are still siding with the U.S. and might be assisting them on this Nixon-style final bombardment that seems to be the plan, if you want to call it that. For those who don't know, Nixon sort of did a huge bombing of Vietnam right before he left. And this seems to be the case where the U.S. has about one and a half to two weeks worth of standoff munitions. And I think they're just going to throw it all in, try and do like a 72-hour sustained super bombing of Iran and call it a day. It won't work. It will be devastating. They will kill people. They will blow things up.

But it's not going to cripple a country of that size with 93 million people and just the geography alone and how things are underground and under mountains. It's just not going to work. It's just not going to work. And if they try and follow behind that giant bombing with Marines and they really are only sending like 3,000 to 5,000, they're all going to – it's a trap. They're all going to die. But Trump seems to be gearing up for this. I don't think he'll pull the trigger until after the markets close on Friday. And then he'll do it. And it will be a total disaster, total waste of life, total waste of money. And that's it for the U.S. The strait will still be closed. The Marines, if he really does do what everyone thinks, they'll just get killed. They will not get a foothold. And they'll be out of standoff munitions. So then Israel's really going to be stuck because dad won't be there to protect them. There are reports to this, Ryan, that the Pentagon has got approval to send 10,000 more troops to the region. What does that – what do you think that's indicative of? It's not enough. I mean, okay. 10,000 more. You need another zero. There's no point.

Like, you can't even hold your own established bases on the other side of the strait. So how are you going to hold an island in the middle of the strait, much less go on to the Iranian shoreline and try and do a beachhead or something? Which has – if you look at it, there's giant cliffs and things. It's just a nightmare. But I don't think the people planning this – I think all the real planners were, you know, came up with bad news and they're told, not you. And he just kept shifting until he got what he wanted to hear. That's a real problem in leadership when you don't listen to reality and you just get the guys to go, yeah, yeah, we can do it. You know, he wants another badge on his uniform or whatever. They're not going. They're going to send the teenagers over there to get blown up. Yeah, I know the Rangers and Marines, they're good at killing. But, man, you can't take on an army of one million. With 1,000 to 10,000, 15,000, doesn't matter. You're just – if you trickle in like that, you're going to be in a Vietnam situation where it's just dead, dead, dead. You hear it.

They're casualty averse as it is. They won't – and they lost an F-18 as well. I forgot to mention that. Got hit twice. That's somewhere in the Gulf of Almond now. I don't want them to do this, but I just don't see any rational players. Trump's talking about – he actually said that Iran gave him a gift. First, he said he's talking to Iranians, but he can't tell you who they are. It's like he's dating a girl when she goes to another school. Then he's like, they gave me a gift. But I don't want to say what it is. Today, he's like, I'll tell you what it is. It was eight. They let through eight tankers. And now they're like, you know what, two more. So it ended up being – this is a totally made-up story. Ten oil tankers were allowed to go. What actually happened was Thailand, Japan, and others through negotiations days ago said, let us at least bring our oil out. And Iran said, okay, but you're going to pay a toll. And they did, and they let it through. Had nothing to do with Trump. It wasn't a gift. It wasn't ten tankers or eight. He's just – he's just brass, delusional, egomaniac. Like, they just lies to everyone all the time. And he doesn't understand how bad he is at lying. He's not – he doesn't do it in a clever way. He acts like he got a gift, and he's talking to people. And his reason for why he can't know who they are is, well, if we said their names, Iran would kill them. Okay. So these people have the power to release tankers, but – and no one can figure out their name from whoever would have the power to release a tanker. Like, they wouldn't be able to deduce who it is. He's such a lying sack of fat orange monster. That's what he is. And he just – yeah, because I'm being YouTube-friendly. Covine excrement, you know what I'm saying? The male kind. That's what he is. And – but if you look at the movements, this isn't a play fake. The 82nd Airborne has been moved in a position. The Tripoli has been on its way from Okinawa, the boxer.

But I think that one left California, so that might not arrive until after Friday. Whatever. As long as the markets are closed, that's his idea is do it then. Stupid. And if they really do the Carg Island thing, which I'm thinking, there's no way they announced that and said how many and said what ships they were coming in on and doing an aquatic evasion. That's got to be a play fake. It's got to be like, oh, we're going to go there, but then we go over here. Iran is defending all of it anyway. It doesn't – they don't care. Like, get on an island. Then what? Now you're stuck on an island that you have to resupply and it's subject to ballistic missiles. You're not bringing your air defense with you. Not that you have much of that left. So what do you – I mean, you're just – it's a turkey shoot. This is really, really, really stupid. But they're going to do it. And you don't think that's a play fake? I don't think they're going to get that island. I think they can go for something in the Gulf of Ullman, but it's the same difference. Yeah. Like, okay, at least you don't have to go across 1,000 miles of land batteries targeting your ship. You'll be able to get on. You might even get a beachhead temporarily, whatever. It's not of really strategic significance. It's stupid. But they just – I think that people playing the war are a bunch of gamers. They're like, you can color stuff in on the map. They have the same problem with Ukraine. They're like, look, we can color in this giant area of empty fields and stuff. But I'm like, yeah, but you lost a bunch of personnel to color a map without destroying destroying the Russian army.

Like, you lost men. They didn't. You went through minefields. And, okay, now you have some dirt. It doesn't matter if it's not of strategic importance. Like, you took some island somewhere. Whoa, whoopee-doo. Karg has significance, but you can't even reach it. And the Osprey option, if you're using tilt rotors, they only carry 24 soldiers each. So you're not going to go back and forth a bunch of time with those at anything of a low enough altitude to get blown out of the sky. If they're hitting F-18s and F-35s and F-15s, you can be damn sure they're going to hit a tilt rotor or a helicopter or whatever else you try. And if you try the aquatic way, which can carry, you know, 100, 120 soldiers, you've got to enter through the strait and go all up. It's – I cannot express how dumb this is. It's like Lindsey Graham level stupid. And they're just – they're going to do it. He doesn't know what to do. Now, the Wall Street generally – I want to stress this. This isn't like – in the beginning, I thought maybe this is just hot air. Like, oh, we're sending in the Kurds or we're going to have an international armada. Like, if you look at the movement of the troops, they seem serious. Like, it is doable. They've put the pieces in place to do something this stupid. Yeah. The Wall Street Journal basically proposed four possibilities. Actually, they didn't even say it as four possibilities. I read it as four possibilities. But actually, they said they're going to do all four, which is crazy, which was take Khag Island, take the Hormuz Islands, take the island of the Gulf of Oman, and possibly even go into the mainland. Like, what's your thoughts on that? Actually, hitting the mainland would be better than trying to grab an island. Because if you get an island, you sacrifice a lot. You really don't gain anything. But you'd have to – if they're going, I guess, in Chandra Bar or something, and they think, oh, well, we can seal off the roads. I think there's only like three entry points or something. Oh, man, it's just – you're stuck there, though, and they don't need to use a road. You moron. It's going to be missiles coming out of the air right on your head. If they can hit Israel, which they are, they can hit another piece of Iran. Dummy. They're not going to come – this isn't World War II. They're not going to come out with their infantry and their tanks down the roads. They're just going to hit you from a distance. You idiots. It's so – we don't – why? Why is the U.S. at war with Iran? Because of Israel, we know. You could get that straight open today by just capitulating to the demands. Get out of the Gulf because you don't need to be there anyway. And no, it's not going to go to China. Saudi Arabia has a defense pact with Pakistan. That's the most likely replacement for the U.S., not the Chinese. China doesn't want that headache anyway. And they're much more likely to work with other Muslims and da-da-da-da-da, whatever. Just leave. Get out, and the strait will be open. You're oil independent, don't need it, right?

It's all for everyone else anyway, you said. But you're looking at a toll booth now that didn't exist before. And partly that's justified because all the damage the U.S. and Israel did to Iran. They're like, no, it's basically your war tax, your reparations tax. You want to move your ships? You pay us. And they have the power to do that. And, you know, all these people like Mike makes right. I'm like, okay, well, you just admitted whatever happens is justified by the sake that it can happen. So that's what Mike makes right means. It just means there is no morality. It's whatever we can do is okay because we can do it. They throw the moral question out the window. That's the only way through it. Now, if you're going to, the more they sink in, if you talk about the sunken fallacy, you get more dead Marines and all, and people are angry. But it's like, why do you want to keep digging your grave? Yeah, the more you do, the worse. Well, you want to walk away with nothing, but you're going to get nothing anyway. So how many times are you going to walk into the meat grinder? Are you going to be like the Ukrainians and lose a million people? Is that what you want to do? So dumb.

And, you know, this is really bad for Israel because from all signs, it looks like the final hurrah for the U.S. Use all the standoff munitions, declare a W, and walk away. But if Iran can just take it on the chin and, you know, hunker down and deal with it, and it's going to suck, then that's it, man. They get a one-on-one with Israel. And that's the dream, isn't it? Because Israel can't even take on Hezbollah. Exactly. Another thing that was reported today was not just in terms of the 10,000 troops, it was the extension. So as you know, Trump gave a 48-hour extension. He then extended it by five days. The five days are meant to run out tomorrow. Now he's extended it again for 10 days. What do you think is going on there? That's okay. It's like I said, the boxer and Tripoli aren't there yet. That's why I was like, they can't do this yet. Now, normally when Trump says five days, he means three. Like, he does negotiations. You know, we'll meet on Sunday. They bomb on Friday. So I wouldn't pay any attention. He never tells the truth. So when he says five days, he meant three, but they're like, sir, we need longer. She's like, okay, 10 days. That means six or whatever. You know, like he's not going to do it on the day that he announces because he's a liar. And he thinks that's real clever. Like, the radius didn't see you do that already twice. They're ready. They're waiting for you. They don't care what day it is. They'll see you coming. The more men you amass, the easier it is to spot. You know, they're going to harass your staging areas. I mean, you can launch from the Lincoln, I suppose. But like, they're going to know. And once you're there on the ground where they can kill you, they're going to. What do you think the staging area is? You mentioned the Lincoln. Oh, there's a proposal. I've heard there's a high movement within the UAE. I've also heard there's a large. UAE would be, I mean, it's adjacent to the, if they're attacking areas in the Gulf of Oman, which is what I think is what they're really doing, not ARG, then it would be the UAE. If you really are dumb enough to attack that island from, it'd come from Kuwait, I suppose. But I just can't imagine a plan that dumb. I've heard a lot of movement in Kuwait as well. So that's why I'm like open to both. I thought UAE. Yeah. I mean, hey, you always have to factor in divide by retard, right? Like, but like every analyst is like that. What? No, you can't. It had to be a disaster. The whole thing is crazy.

But you're confident that something's happening, right? It's just too much movement. Yeah, it's a, that's a lot of money and a lot of like, if you do, if you bluff too, if you make, oh, you got 10 days, five days, he's like, knocked me off my shoulder. It reminds me of these kids with bullies. And you don't do anything, you know, which I still don't want them to. It's very hard to given Trump's personality of being a, you know, maniacal egomaniac. Nah, he's serious. And he's ordered these people around and he's getting some dumb ideas from some idiots because he won't listen to anyone that tells him bad news. And yeah, they didn't get all dressed up for nothing. As they said in Braveheart, like they're going somewhere and it's just dumb. Like you can't, they're addicted to this Rumsfeldian ideology of air, you know, special forces and air power. Like, yeah, that'll work on a country the size of Bahrain, maybe not Iran. You can't just win with special forces and air power. Yeah, but they think so. Just like they thought everything would collapse if you kill the Ayatollah. They really thought that. And so this is them. Israel won't let them quit. So they just, okay, we're going to have to go in on the ground. And remember us talking weeks ago saying how bad it would be. If they tried to do a ground force. How's that going in Lebanon, Israel? You have better tech, more everything. And you're losing.

You're losing tanks. You're losing IDF. You're getting smacked. Iran's on the defense. They have a million man army. You cannot just send in special forces and call it a day. Well, just on the ground. What I'm really worried about is a massive campaign of bombing from the air where they just blow through whatever they have left. You know, and I don't know if two or three days just around the clock bombing. Okay. And then what? You know, their stuff is underground. You're going to blow up things on the surface that, look, they, in their 20-some year plan, they put the vital assets underground. And you're not, these aren't going to be a whole bunch of bunker busters or something. So they're still going to fire ballistic missiles at you in Israel. And they're going to be doing the same thing they're doing now because you can't prevent it. Only it's doing more damage because you have no air defense or radars left. And man, you want to talk about a market crisis. Imagine if they're like, you know what, because of that, we're closing the Red Sea, too. Might want to buy some oil now. I think you could go over, I think you could hit 150, honestly. If they close the Red Sea, yeah, it'll go to 150. I agree. And the Houthis can, aren't even, that's 400,000, they say more, but it's, you know, that's about 400,000 fighters. The U.S. already had a seven-week war with them and then gave up. True. They can close the Red Sea, just, they already proved they could do it on their own. They did it when Israel was attacking Gaza. No doubt, no doubt. Now, coming back to the invasion. And, like, why don't you save your bases? You're losing in Iraq if you're so hardcore and going to go in on the ground. You lost Victoria. You lost everything in Baghdad. Ervil. I mean, you're retreating to Jordan on that front.

But you want to go attack Iran proper. Uh-huh. Okay. It's like they think they can wish things into reality. It's as dumb as, like, changing your sex through willpower. They think you can't just pretend your way through this. I mean, war is a social construct. But in terms of coming back to the point, in terms of the invasion that happens, if it's the Gulf of, the island of the Gulf of Oman, which you're referring to, how long would it take for them to take the island? How long would they have to consolidate and take control over it? Like, what would the entire process take? It depends which one. I was thinking they might go for greater or lesser tombs because those used to belong to the UAE. And they're like, maybe the point would be, look, see, we gave you back this piece of dirt or something. I don't know which one they're going to do, though. Like, it's just not of that big a strategic significance other than to historically, arguably, it used to be part of the UAO, whatever. And then what? It doesn't reopen the strait. It doesn't meet any of your major objectives. You're still going to have to capitulate to Iran's demands. Whether they could do that in a day, two days, doesn't matter. It's doable. Like, it depends on how many people they want to lose. Yeah. If the U.S. wants to just go in there like Tetris and just keep throwing guys until they get it, they will get it. But can you hold it? And then what do you do after? It's not worth it. You know, like, you can't even defend your own base on the other side of the Gulf. You think you can defend an island? I don't think you can. They don't have to go back and reoccupy it. All they have to do is hit you with missiles until you run out of people. I agree with you. I agree with you. I mean, there's nothing to disagree with.

Like, this has been proven. They're hitting you right now in your fortresses that are supposedly stacked with radar and air defense. So, you want to go occupy an island that has none of that. I guess you'd have your Aegis systems from your boats or whatever. Okay. Dude, it's a dumb idea. But we're dealing with morons. Well, yeah, it's uniquely stupid. But as Hex had said, they negotiate through bombs. And that's clearly their psychology. Right? Yeah. And he was like, you think you know more than the Pentagon? I'm like, it isn't the Pentagon. It's whoever Trump decides to listen to. Which I'm just a little hideous. And it's like, well, I'll tell you this. Before the war started, I said, they're going to be a war. They're going to close the Strait of Hormuz. They're going to take out these bases with these weapons. I've been right on this the whole time. And you can go back through. I said, they're going right after 9-11. I said, they're going to attack Iraq. They're like, why? That doesn't make sense. I was like, watch. They're going to somehow lie and connect this to Iraq. Because that's Israel's goal. And they did. And they invaded Iraq.

I said, they're going to go into Syria. And they were like, no, Iran's next. They're like, no, Syria's next. And they went into Syria. And then I said, well, they're going to go after Libya. Why do they go after Libya? They want to go after Iran. They're going to go, no, they're going to go after Libya. And it was nothing about the gold denar and all that crap. It was because Egypt had a revolution. And they were allowing Iranian ships and Libyan ships to go through the Suez Canal. They had a $22 billion contract with China, with Libyan oil. I said, they're going to go after Gaddafi. They did. I said, how that would go. I said, yeah, with American and European, Arab, plus Al-Qaeda, they can take over Libya. No problem. They did. But when it came to Iran, I said, nah, this one ain't so easy. But because it's surrounded by mountains, they have missiles for months hidden underground. Yeah, they don't have much of a Navy or an Air Force.

It doesn't matter. If you've got a big army and a very geographically defensive position and 93 million people and enough ballistic standoff-type weapons, whatever they may be, drones, missiles, rockets, that's a big problem. Because there's no way to deal with that other than to go in on the ground yourself and lose tens of thousands of soldiers. Maybe more. And they tried it anyway. Yeah. Exactly. And they completely failed. And it's just not going to work. Now, one of the things, as you mentioned, that you predicted and many of us predicted was they're going to run out of defense interceptor missiles. A Zionist NGO from the UK is in the exact same case. They basically said that Israel probably has, based on the numbers that they've used, one or two days left, two days left, and the US has probably about 40%, 50%. And this is a Zionist NGO. So, I mean, this just substantiates the position, right? What's your thoughts on that? Yeah. And it's not because of the money. I know a lot of people are like, well, a drone is $20,000 and this missile is $1 million or $2 million. But, nah, they'll print the money. They physically are going to run out. They don't have the components.

And they can't just make more. It's 24 months just to get to the assembly stage of a PAC-3, which is the only, Patriot-3 is the only useful one. And it's not that good. The dome and all the useless. You can block rockets, whatever. No good for missiles. Not even that good for drones. I think they're out. I think they're out of radar anyway, so it doesn't matter. And the U.S. has its old stuff. If you want to get back, maybe you have the first-generation Patriot from the 90s. Useless. I mean, you can't get a scud even. No, they're done because you can see how much they're getting hit. And honestly, even if they had the good stuff, it wouldn't stop Iran's solid-fuel missiles anyway. They were always going through. They saw that in June. So, yeah. And now they have MIRVs, clusters. You know, it's their choice. They can't quite just unload. They have to whack-a-mole because if you light up the grid and give a really big signature, the U.S. will go in there and hit that. But, you know, if you shoot one from, say, a mobile device and move, they don't know where it's from because they don't have early warning anymore. It's just they don't know until it hits Israel that what it was or where it was fired from. Like when they said Diego Garcia got hit, I said, where did they shoot it from? Was it from Tehran? Was it from China Bar? Was it from where? Where? That's a big country. You know, you got about 900 miles or so spread. You ought to know. They had no idea because I think the whole story was made up. I don't think they hit Diego Garcia. Oh, yeah. I don't think it was a false flag. I think it was just 100% lie. No one shot anything. That's what I think. But, you know, if they did, then, okay, where did it come from? Oh, you don't know? Why don't you know? Don't you have an eye in the sky? See? See? You don't have a clue where any of these missiles are coming from because that's the longest shot, right? You ought to be able to trace that back to its point of origin, yet you can't. Was it from Tehran?

Where? It wasn't. It's made up. They just wanted to be like, see, Iran can hit European capitals. No one bought it. They say, yeah, okay, sure. We're not getting involved. The U.S. and Israel really stepped in. The Gulf Arabs are absolutely useless. They're just like, actually, you have to defend them, so they're less than useful. They are just a bane on your whole operation. That's a need check. Yeah. Yeah, it's just like now you have to spread your defenses to this larger area. It'd be easier to not have them there. But the U.S. wanted to use those bases for offense to go into Iran. Well, as soon as – I mean, it's like, why? You're so vulnerable. They can hit your desalination. They can hit your oil. They can ruin those states with a flick. You know, those are glass houses. You can't defend them. And they thought, well, we'll just limit it to bases. Iran said, if you allow the U.S. to use your territory, we will destroy you. So places like Qatar are like, I don't want you here. I mean, what a waste.

Big base, all this stuff, waste of money, doesn't matter. You know, it's just a tripwire. It's like, you know, too small to be significant, too large to ignore. You just basically set – like separated a piece away from your main army and made it vulnerable. That's all you did. So Qatar seemed to have pulled out, but the other GCC countries seemed to have gone in harder. More specifically, the UAE, Bahrain, Kuwait. Bahrain said – Yeah, and look at them. How'd that work out? Look at Kuwait. Kuwait was so bad. Kuwait City, the only lights you could see at night were the fires on the buildings. Yeah, there was a blackout. And Bahrain, holy cow. Yeah. I'm not even excited about watching stuff blow up there anymore. I'm like, yeah, I'm almost like – I have pity. I'm like, oh, don't do that anymore. Like, they're out, you know. Quit kicking them when they're down. They're kicking them anyway. You're not interacting with these Bahrainians then because they're quite vocal on X. I'm like, man, in the book of Fafo, verse 109.

You live by the store, dies by ballistic missile. I think it said something like that. I think it did. I think it did. But they're basically talking about how they're ready to take Iran on. They're talking about how possibly they could even repel any kind of attack from Iran or join the war. What's your thoughts on that? Okay, go for it. With what? This is like the Greenlandian sled dogs. Give me a break. Bahrain. I mean, Saudi Arabia has some stuff the U.S. gave them. They couldn't take on Yemen right next door. I don't think they're going to do too well against Iran. Well, yeah, all right, go ahead and do it. Because that justifies opening up, hitting all your stuff. All your airfields. You want to lose your commercial air industry too? Because you will. Again, water, the most vulnerable thing. It's not like you instantly die of thirst. You'll have time to leave. But it will depopulate those areas if Iran decides to do that. You're just going to have to go. And they're not going to come back. The investments aren't coming back. It's not happening. You need this ward in real soon. Because if you escalate any more, you're going to cross the line of ever being repairable. I think Bahrain's already crossed that line. So they might as well go all in. Because I don't think that place is fixable after all the damage they've sustained. Qatar is. If they just sit this one out, they'll ride it out.

They're going to have one or two years out repairing refineries. They can reopen their LNG and be a mid-tier country, maybe. The UAE, if they stop right now, they'd survive. But if they keep pushing the fool around stage, the more find out they're going to get. Like, you guys are a fleet. You can't do anything against Iran. America cannot protect you. You're a few ballistic missiles away from devastation. All they have to do is hit a couple hotels, whatever. I don't think they would. But if they take out your water, you're done. If they take out your energy or your storage or anything, you're done. You're losing about a billion dollars a day as it is just from the loss of tourism and investment and whatnot. And they're not even. That's like the minimal damage they could do to you. They've been very measured and they've given you all these exit ramps. Just take it. It's America and Israel's problem. Don't go down with them. But these dumb toilet regimes are going to do it. Except Qatar. I mean, they're the only ones smart enough to be like, yeah, we see which way the wind's blowing. We're going to sit this one out. It looks like that, yeah. I do believe that there is a secret deal with Qatar and Iran in order to basically... I think that deal was offered to all of them. Exactly. And only one of them took it. Well, I think from my understanding, the UAE and Saudi took it, but then basically reneged on it. Yeah, that's very them. Look, Iran would like... If they're going to put a toll on the Strait of Hormuz, it's in their own interest for the Gulf Arabs to pump out the oil and natural gas all day because they get to tax it now. But if not, I mean, they don't have any problem destroying it either. Yeah, and I guess that's the other question to you. So one of the things that Gabalef said was that there is a GCC or Gulf State partner within the region that's helping the United States of America with the ground invasion. And obviously, we believe it's UAE or possibly Kuwait, likely UAE. And he said that we're going to be hitting your infrastructure so hard, it will be extremely unbelievable. Before this, they were attacking U.S. embassies, U.S. infrastructure, military bases, as well as CIA hotspots. What will Iran attack if this ground invasion happens in terms of these countries? For Kuwait or UAE, I mean, like, okay, your airports are gone. You won't have commercial flights either. Just goodbye. Kiss that goodbye. They could hit your desalination plants. It's very easy to do. And it would be devastating to that area. They've already locked you out of imports, so they know you're not getting feed, you're not getting food, you're not getting fertilizer in or out. And they could go after other critical infrastructure, you know, electricity and so on. But I think the water and airlines alone, that's all you need to do. It's over. They've already hit the most vital. They've already went through their top-tier targets, right, which was the U.S. bases, the ports, and the airfields. But, you know, they want to hit Dubai Airport, like, in a devastating way. They can do it. They want to resalinate you. They can do it. You know, hit a couple tourist spots. I don't think that's pretty low on the list, but that would be devastating, too. Kuwait, oh, man, you're going to take it from both sides because Iraqis can hit you, too. It's just, I doubt it's them. I think it's UAE. I think the target's in the Gulf of Oman, and that's what's adjacent to it. And that's the dumbest of them all. And that's the one that's going to find out the most. Yeah. Yeah. I'm in agreement with you. I just think that... And I don't want this. As much as I don't like... I don't like their government. I mean, they sponsored ISIS. They sponsored the war in Yemen. They sponsored RSF in Sudan. It's an evil entity.

But a lot of people live there that have nothing to do with any of that, you know, honestly. I don't want this. But they're going to do it. Yeah. I want Israel to burn. I'm like, every bomb they have to deal with, you toilet regimes, could have hit Israel instead. So think of what you're doing. You're wasting good bombs that could have been planted on the Israelis. I mean, I think you're too nice. I don't mind those hits. They're going to feel the pain. Those people can go elsewhere. I'm indifferent to it. I enjoy the bombs on Israel. Those people are monsters. But just for the sake of everyone else that needs to buy the oil and gas, like, that's not fair. They didn't have any part in this. And they have to pay more, too, because the Gulfs are deciding to commit suicide. Like, just blow up Israel. They're not significant. They don't have any resource. They give nothing to the world but pain. So bring that on them. I agree. I'd like to keep our gas stations in the Gulf. They have a purpose. Like, they can do that, at least. You know, why don't you sanction individuals or assassinate them the way the Israelis and Americans do? Do that. But don't collectively punish the whole area. Just kill a couple shakes or something.

Well, I think the issue is that these countries need to know that there's consequences for their actions. I know. I'm being tongue-in-cheek. I know why they have to do it, and they're going to get it. It just sucks for... It really sucks for the crypto bros and whores, you know? Yeah, they can go elsewhere. Like, the thing is... You can count my crocodile tears. Yeah. Like, all those... Yeah, they could go to Egypt or Jordan, right? All these... Yeah, exactly. All those Ukrainian and Russian chicks can go elsewhere. Like, the point is, there could be another hub like that that's created. Can you imagine fleeing Ukraine and going to Dubai and then fleeing Dubai? Exactly. Exactly. So, yeah. I've got no love lost for them. And to be honest, I think they need to be taught a big lesson. Now, coming back to the specific ground invasion, we watched a video. They've lost 60 Merkava tanks. It seems like Syria... We discussed this, but it does seem like Syria hasn't allowed invasion through their border. I was looking through the map, and actually, they're doing it through the other regions, but not Syria. What's your kind of analysis about... Well, the Al-Qaeda groups are eating each other. You know, they were fighting with the Kurds earlier this year, and then you've got Jelani factions. They're robbing... They rob their own populations. Like, even with the sanctions lifted, you know, Assad never had that advantage. Even with all these brutal sanctions removed, they can't formulate a functioning country. And that's what happens when you're ruled by a bunch of 79 IQ apes. They just turn on each other. A lot of SAA expertise and weapons is in Iraq and Lebanon right now, like Syrian leaders are there. And they're doing a lot with them. I mean, they know the game. They know how to fight terrorists. They weren't defeated on the battlefield. They were defeated economically. So, their knowledge is good. Their weaponry is good. Their tactics are good. They are assisting the PMU to a degree, and they're definitely assisting Hezbollah. That's where most of them went. Yeah. Yeah. And they know how to take out Amr. Now, I'm looking at Israel and they're being hit hard.

Haifa has been hit hard. The port's been taken out. Ben-Gurion's been hit hard. Demona has been hit hard recently. Just from a tactical perspective, from your understanding, where will Iran start focusing on next? Well, they've gotten the three vital areas are Haifa, Ben-Gurion portion of Tel Aviv, and Iliad, because those are the ports. And then they've wiped out the radar in the north, so Haifa and Tel Aviv, there's nothing complex. Like, that's where the majority of Israelis live. That's where the majority of their offensive capacity is. Ben-Gurion doubles for military as well, so it's not just a commercial. That's what Israel does. They mix their things in with civilian areas, because they really do have human shields. So you take that out. They took out their future city, their Silicon Valley to be in Arad. That's gone. It's just a valley now. But they're going to need to hit West Jerusalem eventually. That's where they store a lot of their Popeyes, supersonic missiles and things, which can have a nuclear warhead. I would be getting that. But I don't think they're done with Haifa yet. That's a big Israeli city. The port's been destroyed. And in a way, I guess sacrificing all those tanks and IDF in Lebanon is at least preventing them from doing raids. But you might even see Hezbollah going on the offense and doing some raids. Not just killing them on the defense. But when things are going so well, and they keep pouring in more, and you can kill them defensively, why change things up? You know, they keep it exactly how it is. As long as they're going to be that stupid, do it. But there is some pressure, because Israel just bombs Beirut. Like, they can fly from above, and you stand off munitions and hit that. Lebanon doesn't have any great air defense or anything.

So they mainly have to stick on the offense and hit them with drones, rockets, and missiles. And they've been hitting the staging areas of IDF. They have been killing Israeli soldiers. But for Iran, can tag them anywhere. Now they can hit, they could hit West Jerusalem. They can hit Tel Aviv. And I think Tel Aviv is next. I think that's what everyone wants. But that's, they've been getting hit with clusters and softened up. And it seems like they've moved their, whatever's left for their radar and air defense systems to more vital areas like Damona. Which, you know, by tagging that, forced them to run to that. And now they tag Tel Aviv. Because they emptied their defense. Boom, boom, Tel Aviv is what we want. But in terms of Haifa, is the power functioning? Because I'm getting mixed information on that. Some are saying that it's functioning, but on a very minor level. Others saying it's functioning. Power minor. Like, you know, can you really get resupplies? That's the main purpose. And no, they can't. So, you know, they're going to try to repair, of course. And they're going to try to keep it open. Iliot's bankrupt. That's gone. Ben-Gurion, you know, because it's an airport. Air is much easier to stop, you know, one rocket. Your own defense system shuts down your airport because it'll shoot planes, too. But seaports, it's difficult. But they've knocked out the power. They've knocked out key infrastructure there. So it's going to be hard to do any docking or anything. So I just, I don't think anybody wants to try to go in or out of Haifa right now.

It's a battlefield. And that alone and the insurance and other things, there's other reasons. People are like, I'm not risking it. So they can get things in and it shows how desperate they are and what they want. What do they want? Well, they want more interceptors. But nobody has any to give you. Anyone that has any, they're holding on to them like the most precious thing in the world. They're like, no, no, no. We need to start making these and holding on to the ones we have. You'll just never be able to outpace the ballistic missiles. That's the thing. So until there's some new development in that whole area of air defense, this equation stands as it is. It'll work for a few days and you run out. And then, you know, if you don't win in that amount of short window, you take it on the chin. And that's the problem with picking people, picking on people who are so much larger than you graphically. Iran can spread out and they can move around. Israel, not a lot of places to hide. I guess they go back in the sewers like in New York. Maybe try that. Go live down there. Take your dirty mattresses and go live in the sewers. Even settlements got hit yesterday, which is so satisfying. Like of all the people in Israel that deserve a missile through the window, it's the settlers in the West Bank. That shit's perfect.

Yeah. And we've seen them start abusing people in the West Bank. We're abusing people in Gaza. They tortured a one-year-old. So, yeah, these people. On film. And that's brazen. That's a new. They've always tortured kids, but they filmed it. Putting cigarettes out on his knees and things like that. A 10-month-old baby. Not even one. Yeah. And they're doing that out of spite. They set fire to the last Christian town. It's just like... Yeah. Keep it up. The whole world hates you. They all see what you're doing. And no one cares. It's been like... Oh, Rihanna's using cluster munitions. Oh, you of all people are going to complain about the type of weapons being used when you're using napalm and MK-77 and your own cluster munitions. And you target hospitals and schools. Get bent. Exactly. They are bent over the barrel. It's YouTube. Anyway. Yeah, exactly. Yeah. So, Ryan, just coming back to the... Just about to wrap up. But in terms of Trump, you mentioned he's egotistical. He's maniacal. His ego is so large that he doesn't want to accept a fee. Both of us believe, as do all the other experts, that this is going to fail. This attempt and invasion of the lands is going to fail. Badly. Once that fails, what happens next? Does he agree to a deal? Or do you think he escalates even more? He'll escalate. Like, it's designed to fail. Oh, look. They killed our boys. Support our troops. You can't cut and run. I can hear all the crap right now, right? All the same excuses.

It's designed to fail. And it's, oh, we can't let them embarrass us like that. You sent them in alone. Like, ah. They're supposed to be the tip of the spear. There's a spear behind that, though. There's no spear behind it. You're just throwing the tip around. Just the tip, right? Ain't going to work. It never does. It's never just the tip. Exactly. See, the euphemism, you can get away with it. Exactly. But then, so the point is, you believe there's going to be escalation. Last question. I wanted to end. I hope he would just take the L or just declare victory and go. It could be a bunch of hot air. And he's just going to do a major bombing campaign with what he has left of standoff munitions, Nixon style, and walk. That's, I don't want that either. But that's my hope. Like, that's like the most realistic, least bad outcome of all bad outcomes. Because he isn't going to go. He's going to throw everything at the wall first and then leave. But if he tries to follow up behind that with ground forces and they just get killed, then Americans are going to be like, but they killed our Marines. Like, but you sent them in. But with American exceptionalism, it doesn't matter. They always start the story in the middle with whatever bad happened to them, regardless of what their behavior and actions were that led to that. They just, oh, look what you did. Gee, where did those Marines get killed?

In Iran? Did they come over to America and attack us? No. You were over there killing them. That's why they died. But that, it doesn't, it doesn't matter. It's like, well, Iran was about to attack us. Like, how? Are you next to them pointing guns at them? That doesn't even register, right? So, the Magatards will eat, oh, they killed our boys. And they're going to demand more blood. And I'm like, well, what? What are you going to, now you're going to do more bombings? With short-range stuff so your planes get shot down, too. How far into the quicksand do you want to go? That's why people need to be ranting and raving right now before this stunt is pulled in 10 days or whatever the, you know, the timeline he lying about is. You've got to end this before it starts. The problem is no one can reach Trump. He listens to people like Laura Loomer, you know, double-failed plastic surgery woman. And Mark Levine, hardcore Zionist Jews are in his ear who don't know anything about war. And that's who he's surrounded himself with. And they're all telling him, it's going great. It's the best war ever. And ever in history has a modern army been defeated so quickly. You're awesome. You're strong. You're not like Obama and Biden. You're much better and smarter and more handsome than those guys. And he just, you know, he eats up whoever kisses his butt. You can see that with Kim Jong-un. He wrote him a letter and all of a sudden he's shaking hands with the dictator in North Korea because he flattered him. And it works so well on the Don. If you flatter him, you know, he just eats it up. He's so immature and so, like, thirsty for compliments. Really insecure guy. I'd like to hear what a psychologist has to say about him. You know, like, I've never seen a case of classic narcissism at this level ever. No one's even close. Well, apparently. He just is trolling people and he's bombastic and he's saying it to get under the skin. He's like, no, no, no. He's serious. He's that in love with himself. And I think he's the greatest. He's like, Iran gave me a gift. It might be the best gift. It was a very expensive gift. That's what many people are saying is the best gift ever in the world. And no one else could do that. I'm the best at taking gifts. Just wow. You know, you know what was funny? I was at better aim, you know. Exactly.

You know, what was funny was, apparently. What's been happening during this 27 day war is each day for two minutes to show him a highlight reel of all the bombing. And he's like, and this is actually factual. He's like, wow, so much bombing, so much winning. Why is it winning? So you get so big and huge. Yeah. They probably got like pro wrestling entrance music playing. Like, dude, like, just, oh, man, I got something. I know you've seen it. And I know most of your audience has seen it. But it's worth seeing again. It was done. It's an amazing montage of historical genocides and killing civilians. It starts with a, it looks like a Lakota native in a headdress. And it goes through all the way to Epstein Island. Yeah. You got it. If you want to play it. Yeah, yeah. Let's do it. you see there oh one vengeance for all that was a statue of Baal by the way I was gonna say Andrew would love that the statue of Baal but yeah I mean look this is it this is why I think you mentioned this about a few weeks ago and you said ordinarily in war you can't really say it's good or evil like there'll be someone who's kind of more on the right and someone who's kind of more yeah usually it's very complex and they all got their own reasons and it's just this is like no you have baby torturing monsters on one side you know the Israelis it doesn't get more evil than them they just they really just like I said manifest destiny 2.0 you're animals we're you're the real civilization we're taking this land God gave it to us we can just kill your kids we're fighting Amalek like that's the mindset total religious fanatic just weird in timer we're gonna blow up the earth and bring back Jesus like really sick genocidal maniacs who attacked Iran four times and three times they were you know they're very measured in their reply then you kill the Ayatollah and you wipe out a school full of girls this is written like a comic book like this is pure evil and not you know this is good versus evil it really is at that level where it's like you gotta smash this parasite because if Iran falls oh can you imagine if Israel and America controlled the Strait of Hormuz and all the oil in the world pretty much like exactly and you're looking at dystopian technocratic nightmare with the AI is gonna rule your life you'll have no privacy you'll just be a slave and spare parts where they steal your organs they just what they want they want a playground where they can just sexually exploit your girls and and wipe everyone it's just oh they're they're so evil true so they don't even flinch from torturing a child they're like but it's not a Jew so it doesn't matter they really hate everybody and it's just like okay if that's gonna be your behavior in the Israeli state then the Israeli state shouldn't exist they need to go the same way as the Nazi party just gone right Ryan thank you so much for taking your time out to join you we always appreciate your updates the best ever guys you gotta give my boy Ryan Dawson a follow if you're not following him you are so lame you can follow him on X it's Rai Liberty I believe on X as well Ryan you've got your subscriptions on correct and you're posting yeah I got that turned on because it's hooked to Japan Korea doesn't have Stripe so it wasn't X banning me it was Stripe doesn't have it doesn't exist in this country I've shorted out I think there's like 125 people signed up it's extra if you're on the sub stack you don't need to be on Twitter because you're going to get the same thing so you don't don't sign up to both unless you just want to give away money but yeah it's just extra I put a long interview with Scott Horton we did this morning is up on subscribers on sub stack and on Twitter if you want to check that out we were going through it man because I've been listening to Scott since I don't know 2000 maybe 99 something like that and you know he's been very accurate we're around the same age and we're like we're the older guys now not quite as old but like we used to be the kids that were doing this and yeah it was fun to talk to him he's got a sharp like way of retrieving facts and all that it's fun yeah yeah Scott's great I had him on I think like a month or two ago but I'll probably get him on again actually but yeah he's good all right and so people can see you on that people can also find you on sub stack and again you can be a free subscriber on sub stack it's Ryan Dawson.org and people can also subscribe to you for just $6.50 so do think about these sorry yeah get your F Israel shirts man you got the merch I mean yeah I used to I have this boycott Israel and things and end all aid to Israel but then I've just got F Israel the problem with all of that is Ryan get the merch now guys because that merch might be obsolete once Israel ceases to exist oh I've been banned many times this is like my fourth store but yeah no no what I mean is when Israel ceases to exist that merch is going to be obsolete like F oh yeah well it'd be like oh yeah it's kind of like old school shirt like remember when those those idiots like those monsters that were bombing Gaza exactly glad we got rid of them yeah exactly exactly so get the merch because it's going to be obsolete but much love to Ryan appreciate him as always I gotta make a greater Iran map wouldn't that be funny like counter greater like this color in all those Gulf states is a larger piece of Iran Ryan I've been saying I've been saying the Persian Empire is coming I'll be Vicer of Europe you could be Vicer from Asia it's coming down it's going down full on takeover why are you giving me the better half remember your boys when the takeover happens because you know we were we were fighting against the Zios but anyway appreciate you Ryan as always thank you so much for coming on yeah well let's try to have peace as fun as it is we need this war to end except in Israel that can go on forever yeah yeah we definitely want peace no doubt I appreciate you as always Ryan thank you so much that was Ryan Dawson great interview as always