I think Dan's back up again. Dan, your thoughts on that question? I was saying
the same thing 15 minutes ago. This is, you know, it's hurting our perceived
power, you know, when we make empty threats, when we don't follow through. And,
you know, if we get our ass kicked here, I think that really negatively impacts
us moving forward. And then another thing also, which can be, you know, another
issue, and I'm going to just go into a scenario here. Let's say Trump pulls out,
right? Gulf states say, okay, look, guys, we're not going to let you rebuild
your military bases. U.S. is probably not going to want to rebuild the military
bases either because that's going to be, what, spend billions of dollars again
to just have them blown up by the Iranians when they've already said that we're
going to blow you up if you build again. So we're going to have to pull out the
region. What that does is it creates an opportunity for the Chinese and the
Russians. Like, now, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar, et cetera, Kuwait, they might
say, you know what, let's get the Chinese. The Chinese are pragmatic investors.
They have maybe not the same military might as the U.S., but they're kind of the
same. They get along with the Iranians. Let's bring them in for protection
instead, right? They can have the military might without necessarily getting
into wars. They're way less of a liability. So that almost creates an
opportunity for China. And the thing that kills me is so many MAGA retards that
I've talked with, they say, oh, Trump invading or Trump bombing Iran is an
America first policy because it's 4D chess. And I say, how's it 4D chess? And
they almost always respond, well, we're weakening China because the straighter
home list is closed. We're weakening Russia, blah, blah. And I'm like, not
really because he thought this war was going to end soon, but it didn't, and now
look at us. We're stuck in a quagmire. Chinese are still getting oil. Russian
oil and gas have sanctions lifted. Iranian oil got sanctions lifted. So it's
completely fucking backfired on our faces. So not only has this military blunder
backfired on us, if we do get kicked out of the region, when I think there's a
high likelihood we will get kicked out of the region, this invites other
adversarial powers to take our position that we're using to project power and go
ahead and start negotiating with, or sorry, not negotiating, start being able to
create power projections in the region that we just got kicked out of. And then
what's worse is, if you guys remember, last year around the spring, Trump went
ahead to the Middle East. It was actually his first foreign visit. And what did
he do? He went to go secure, you know, billions of dollars from the Gulf. And
what ended up happening with that was, you know, they invested a bunch of money.
They might go ahead and pull their investments now at this point. Yeah, I just
want to welcome Ryan to the stage as well. Just to add to what you're saying, I
think that with the Gulf states, I don't think they'll move towards China. But
what will happen is, everyone believed that America inevitably, possibly could
go to war with China in the future. And what China's done is, essentially, used
Iran as a proxy. So just the way that NATO has used Ukraine as a proxy for the
war against Russia, you basically make Iran do all the work you need to do to
weaken America. So that possible war, if it did happen, won't happen in the
future. So I think there's just so many benefits to Russia and China in this,
never mind the financial benefit that Russia's got from this, that they
basically are going to force, they may even force America into a long-term war,
which is only going to benefit them. And this is what they want. They want
America to be focused in this region, where they don't need to focus anywhere
else. I made a tweet on this. Let me see. Like, dude, the Russians fucking
killed it, man. They made, let me look here. They made, as of yesterday, or
earlier this morning, $8.3 billion in fossil fuels just in the first two weeks,
dude. It was incredible. Putin was loving it today. He was talking about how
much money they made. I think they made half of the money they spent on Ukraine
at this point. They've made a lot. I just want to welcome Ryan onto the stage as
well. Ryan, how are you doing? I'm doing well. Every day that I watch Tel Aviv
burn is a good day. So every day is a good day for you then, Ryan? This whole
month has been glorious. Do you want to... We've got Dan here, Ryan. We've got
Myron here. I think everyone would love to hear some of your updates about
what's going on. Well, it's as I predicted. When Trump said you had 48 hours,
and remember I was laughing, I'm like, why not one hour? He's not going to do
anything. He's not going to touch their energy. But he painted himself in a
corner. So now he has to be like, oh, we're doing a five-day pause, and I'm
negotiating with Iran. Who are you talking to? He's just making this up and
putting it on true social. He's lying about everything. There are no
negotiations. They're not going to be, because you attack them under the guise
of negotiations twice. That's what these pedophiles did. They said, oh, we're
going to talk about uranium, and then they attacked him. And they did that same
play again and murdered the Ayatollah and blew up a school full of girls. So no
one's talking to him. He was making threats that he couldn't back up, and now
he's saying, oh, well, now it's not 48 hours. Now it's another five days, and I
think they're going to negotiate. We've won. We've whipped them. They have no
Navy, no Air Force, no weapons, whatever, as they're shooting down your planes
and blowing up a rod and hitting Damona and shutting the lights off in Kuwait
and running you out of Iraq so bad that you have to retreat to Jordan and
Hezbollah taking over Haifa. Yeah, everything's going great. And the UAO, the
United Arab Oligarchs, are having a very hard time because their ports are shut
down, the tourism's zero, real estate's plummeting like 50%. It isn't coming
back. The refineries have been physically destroyed. They're years out just to
get back to where they were, and it looks like there's going to be a permanent
toll booth on the Strait of Hormuz the same way there is on the Suez Canal and
Panama Canal, and you know they might put one out there in Aden too to tax the
Red Sea because they can. And Ryan, what's the update in terms of Hezbollah?
There's so many, there's so much glorious videos coming out of Merkaba tanks
being taken out. You just want me to say it, right? Of course, of course, I
don't get you in here to just give me, just give me the words I want to hear.
Yeah, it's, it's the same. Look, I don't, I don't, well, these low IQ inbred
God's chosen lunatics just don't learn. You'd think after the Merkaba tanks get
cracked with Cornet missiles and then anti-tank personnel and then they go and
hit the rescue teams and stuff that they'd quit doing that and you'd think after
their staging areas are repeatedly harassed by rockets and drones that they
wouldn't all bunch up like that over and over again but they keep doing it
anyway and they keep getting the same result. But it's probably Bedouin cannon
fodder anyway. Most of the, anybody with a six-figure salary or more is in
Cyprus or further away. They've all run. They can't flee south like they did
before because the south is also getting hit so they're going completely leaving
Israel. Ben-Gurion shut down. Haifa's lost. Haifa port is lost. Power plant's
lost. Iliad is closed. They lost all three ports. They're losing dozens of tanks
every day. They can't get into Lebanon. They tried coming in from the east
because they are welcome in Syria since they gave Syria to Al-Qaeda. That also
failed. All they can really do is kill civilians in Beirut flying way above head
with standoff munitions and they're running out of those too and blow up Beirut.
Lebanon doesn't have the air defense that Iran has. That is one weak point but
they've got ground forces and they're not, it's not only going bad there.
Hezbollah's in Iraq too now. So are former SAA fighters from Syria are in there
with their expertise they've blown up Victoria in Baghdad. They blew up the U.S.
Embassy in Baghdad and let me explain the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad is not an
embassy. It's a city. Thank you. So much MAGA retards at work. I know bro. So
many of them stupid as fuck. Oh I'm sorry. My bad dude. My bad. Go ahead Ryan.
Yeah I was wondering what that was. Anyway the embassy in Baghdad is not like
one building. it's a giant complex. It's a fortress. It's a base that they call
an embassy. Doesn't matter. It's on fire. They're getting pushed out of Iraq.
Herbal's been destroyed. I love looking at the aerial photos of Kuwait. It looks
like North Korea. There's no lights. What else? Oh then and they're being hit in
Saudi Arabia as well. Like that's where a lot of the rats went to the Prince
Sultan Air Base. That's where those refuelers got destroyed. Another F-15 was
blown out of the sky above Kuwait. No it was not hit by friendly fire. No it
wasn't just a female pilot although you know 50-50 there. It's being hit by
Iranian air defense. So this is what I said when they're like oh look their air
defense sucks. The Chinese and Russian stuff sucks. I'm like no it doesn't. The
standoff munitions that America has is the best. The Tomahawks and glide bombs
and things but they've run out. So you can JDAM and JASM but you risk getting
your plane shot. They even had an F-35 which is the newest thing they got the
most stealthy allegedly aviation equipment they have. That got tagged and so
they're not being able to hit targets as deep inside Iran. The marine invasion
didn't happen and I told you they're not going to Cargill Island. They might try
to take Greater Tomb which is it used to be part of the United Arab Oligarchs
but it's Iranian now. They might try and take that back and declare W and leave.
It's in the Gulf of Omen. Good luck. You're most likely just going to get
destroyed. I can tell you what they ought to do but I don't want to help them. I
know something the U.S. could do in Balochistan that might work but why help the
enemy? The best thing though ever is Israel complaining to the UN about cluster
munitions and they're like are you serious? You didn't even sign that treaty
because you use clusters. yourself and white phosphorus. I keep calling them out
on that. What about all the fucking white phosphorus they've been using and
they've used cluster munitions as well. It's like the hypocrisy of it is so
crazy. Well they use MK77 and MK86 and all these things that are banned. It's
like shut up Israel. You shoot people going to get food. You hit food trucks.
You blow up doctors. You raided hospitals in the West Bank and stabbed injured
people in their beds. Get bent. They just tortured a one-year-old child. Do they
level up? Yeah. Put cigarettes out on his skin and torture this in front of his
father. they do this out of spite. We're going to torture babies because they
love to destroy the innocent. When you're talking about the Baloks because
obviously the Baloks they kind of use them as a proxy or whatever against the
government. I know Jundala is non-existent anymore but I think they got
something called the BLA now Balok Liberation Association whatever the hell.
It's got to know but it's pronounced Balokistanis in eastern and southeastern
Iran. I don't want to say what it is. It's not Jundala. something else. I know
what the U.S. could do but I'm not going to help them. They are failing on every
metric. It's beautiful. And you know the rest of the world is like look at NATO
they're like I don't think the U.S. can protect us. Not now. They blew their
whole wad trying to save Israel. They got a few interceptors in Turkey and Diego
Garcia and stuff. They didn't use everything but the Gulf has nothing left.
Israel has nothing left. Israel is being hit by rockets. Okay. There's a big
difference between a rocket and a missile. They're getting hit by rockets. That
means either they have no radar or they have no interceptors or both. I'm on
stream right now. My chat wants to know what it is. Got a thousand people
watching right now. They want to know what it is if you don't mind saying it
man. I think they don't have any radar because they kept reporting all the ones
they blew up and you can see at the beginning of the war the fanciest radar the
1.1 billion dollar radar in Qatar and the other 300 million dollar one in Jordan
were the first things hit. So I think they're blind. They have no eyes and ears.
So whatever interceptors they have left because you think they got to have some
Iron Dome and some PAC-2s or some of the trashy stuff. right. They're not even
firing and the reason I think it's radar is also because the early warning
system that no no I'm talking about in northern Israel still they don't have
they're not running to the shelters because they're not being warned and that
means they don't have radar because they would at least do the sirens and tell
them the the YIDs to go run in the basement or whatever and they're not even
doing that. So they'll also with ARA they'll probably have less defense
interceptor missiles in all those specific locations because they'll have seen
it as a low low risk location whereas with the Demona that is a high risk
location so the fact that they've hit that they would have a huge amount of
defense interceptor missiles so the fact that that's it and basically adds to
your point Ryan that this is just demonstrating that yeah and they may have used
one of those new Mirage drones on Demona I'm not I mean maybe I'm not gonna
verify it but that may have been what that was which they can't detect anyway
unless unless they start pulling out the old long radar which they threw away
it's so stupid the US got rid of four minesweepers in January they're not
closing the strait with mines yet but they can they got rid of them the only
ally the US has is proper enable minesweepers is Japan who's constitutionally
forbidden from using them by the way lowest inflation 1.3 Takaichi is kicking
ass over there Ryan people in my chat are asking about the balok stuff I know
you don't want to reveal it but I'm sure there's plenty Pentagon planners that
have had the idea as well can you because we got literally a bunch of people in
here watching what's the what do you think the balok plan would be if the US
were to utilize them no the balokestand fuck them like they're I'm not I don't
care what your chat thinks I'm not helping America and Israel and guys by the
way I'm supposed to Ryan in terms of Ryan look I don't want to sound like an
asshole bro but I'm sure that there's Pentagon planners that literally have the
same idea and they might be trying to do it or not doing it because there's
something else you might have not foreseen it's not like there's not Pentagon
planners okay well the thing is why the reason I even brought it up at all is
because when they're saying look we're going to take the boxer and the Tripoli
we're going to go to Karg Island and that's a play fake you don't say we're
going to this place at this time in this ship with this many Marines unless
that's a play action like that's the diversion that ain't where they're going
they're going over to the eastern side which is way more doable way easier to
get a foothold you have resistance there at least be neutral to you you don't
want to be stuck on an island that deep where you have to transport aquatically
through the Strait of Hormuz go through all the land batteries it's such a
stupid plan no one in the Pentagon is that dumb there's no way so you're saying
invade via the Pakistan border or no not the Pakistan border it's a play fake
it's north of the Gulf of Oman there is a vulnerable spot in Iran away from
urban areas it only has one airstrip it is vulnerable you have a population that
in the past has risen up you could get there isn't thing I don't want to explain
there's a thing that they could do but I don't think so but I'm just saying if
that is the plan they're not going to Karg Island and I don't think they're
going to a greater tomb and I don't think they're going to try to take any of
these islands inside the Strait of Hormuz Gulf of Oman and because Iran does not
have a blue water navy that area in southeast Iran is the only vulnerable ish
part and it still wouldn't be easy but if all this talk of Marines if they were
going to say they're going to go to A and then do B obviously like why would you
announce your plans even Trump's not that stupid I think they had to announce
some kind of plans though to to calm the market panic and be like don't worry
we're going to do this we're going to the Strait open here's the thing the
Strait's already open from people who don't resort to violence to to Japan to
India to Russia to China their ships are allowed to load up with oil and leave
you know it won't make up for everything they lost from the Gulf but it is a
lifeline and that's you know all you have think Korea and Vietnam are
negotiating now so oil will continue to go east it's not going to Europe other
than maybe maybe Greece it isn't going into Europe and Russia said the same
thing like yeah we can sell gas and oil to the Europeans but we're not doing
this temporary stuff because you're in dire straits so now you want to buy from
us that we want long term guarantees otherwise we have some very thirsty
customers the other direction and that's they're already supplying Japan with
oil and Korea with coal and they're willing to sell to the east with China
especially Russia can do that but they did tell the Europeans like look we can
work with you we can sell for you but we're not going to do this short-term
stuff and so Europe is really screwed as long as they're siding with America
who's losing to war at least they had enough sense not to send the Navy to the
strait where the they would just get sunk so they're going to have to negotiate
with Russia and they're going to have to get long term guarantees yeah Ryan
thank you sir back what Ryan Dawson just said militarily speaking US Navy
tactics and that he's 150% correct back him up 150% on that I think you figured
out the other plan but don't say I'm just saying there is a Iran does have a
vulnerable spot they do yeah I gotta be honest I gotta be honest bro everything
that we would talk about right now I guarantee you Pentagon planners already
know they have higher clearances than us they got boots on the ground they know
more than any of us so I look I don't want to sound like an asshole like this
they consistently do not know what I know all the time come on Ryan there's they
are that stupid especially especially Trump's people they're bunch they think
they're gonna bring back Jesus like these people are retarded here's the thing
dude they like again they probably know what you know but of course they're not
rational they're like we want war we want to go ahead and do it so like I'm not
saying that my thing is I guarantee you they probably know what you know but
they're just not going with it because that's a rational way to go and could
potentially de-escalate the conflict it's worse than that they don't want to do
what's effective they want to do what is personally profiteering for themselves
whatever they can make those money on not what's gonna work the fact that they
know it too I guarantee you the Pentagon planners know exactly what you are
talking about as well because they have access to significantly more classified
information so give the people what they want man tell them what you think it's
I don't think so I think I think these people learned like the Crag Island thing
came from a video game these people do look at their campaign in Ukraine look at
the summer offense that they did where their tanks are just getting blown up
left and right like they're not smart they do have access to these things but
they Trump's not listening to the smart ones or he fires them they are
absolutely that stupid I agree with you Ryan I think that they may have it in
their briefing in terms of possibility possible possible let me prove how stupid
they are where is the Tripoli coming from that they're going to pack with
Marines where did it come from Okinawa they had to bring it all the way over
from Okinawa now like why wasn't that already in place before you started the
war because they didn't anticipate any of this they really thought they'd kill
the Ayatollah it would crumble and they are making stuff up as they go along
they did not have contingency plans this isn't Bruce Wayne these are Christian
retards and they don't know what they're doing at all and everybody who with the
brain has quit because they're like I'm sick of talking to the wall and they
retire they resign like I'm out of here I can't talk to these people I get it
well even Ryan even worse than the seventh fleet asset why are they moving a
look at this why are they moving a third fleet asset boxer halfway around the
world which is insane yeah and then they're counting Marines and sailors
together as if they're all Marines like no no they're not and then they're like
oh it's in the 82nd airborne and I'm like that's not enough like it's mr Miyagi
thing you know do it or don't in the middle of squish like grape you're doing
grapes so Ryan do you feel like I'm sorry Suleman no go for yesterday thank you
why would you get rid of four minesweepers right before the war you like how who
who made that decision they're dumb why would you why would you after you
basically failed to invade it so many times why would you try and invade from
the east why would you try and invade from the south like every single decision
they made has been so horrible that they've actually yeah there may be like
they'll definitely be war game some of these things out and said look planet
these are all possibilities but unfortunately what happens is they end up taking
the worst decisions because they've got horrible decision makers in there like
Pete Hegseth is an example of someone who didn't earn his way up to the top he
just he was just giving it as a Fox presenter so that's a perfect example
because they did do war games and this is exactly what happened and he didn't
adjust exactly I agree and guys we're live on X we're live on YouTube the tweets
in the nest if you want to listen on YouTube as well we do stream every single
day on YouTube and we pull out videos every single day with great interviews
with so many awesome guests so the tweets in the nest if you want to follow the
YouTube Ryan another question for you and in terms of from the much call again
from the American perspective you mentioned that the Saudi the Saudis have been
sorry the UAE question was about I was going to ask you so you know the UAO Ryan
you know what my question is going to be excuse me it's the United Arab
oligarchs it is the well I wouldn't even say oligarchs like the monarchs bro but
the in terms of them they came out yesterday quite aggressively stating that
they're going to be and they attacked Iran they talked about how they want to
join the war in a more offensive manner I mean I don't think they could do
anything but why would they make such a bold statement what are they going to do
throw digital coins at them what does the UAO have offensively nothing Russian
chicks yeah but didn't the the pervert that owns only fans just die of a drug
overdose of cancer I think it was yes sir he's only like 43 years old and he
funded the IDF as well and he's Jewish and a pack it's a left hey there's 11
million dollars disappearing to a pack well they'll have one of the boys
replacing him as well so Dan's glitched out but he's been glitching out and
coming back all the time so that got all you got question for Ryan anyway that
girl go ahead yeah so and thank you so Ryan real quick and anybody on the pat or
Suleiman you can answer too like I see that they're bringing in what some troops
or something possibly to the ground it feels like a suicide mission I mean what
do you think do you think that it's like do you think it's just basically just
like using them as guinea pigs what are they doing I mean it feels like a
literal like let's throw away human beings so what do you guys think of that
like what is yeah it's like that that cannot be the real plan like he I can't
imagine anybody that dumb not even them so it's got to be some you know even
Trump's like why would you tell them what you're about to do he's saying
everything's gonna do what boats are gonna be on where they're attacking and how
and what the numbers are so I think that's false like they're saying that
they're gonna do something else but regardless if you attack any area with five
thousand guys that's a total you need like three hundred thousand not five
thousand it isn't you're just gonna die I mean I guess and I'll just add this is
like a part of the question I guess because they're so dumb and they are dumb I
mean the fact that we're even in this war is completely bizarre they're not
prepared I mean there's they were shocked that killing the Ayatollah didn't make
this vacuum for this regime change any one of us could have told them that that
was not going to happen I'm not a geopolitical expert I'm a nurse for crying out
loud and I could have told them that all of this was gonna happen but anyway so
maybe you think they're dumb enough to say hey we're just gonna do this thing to
say that hey we at least try troops on the ground before we escalate to like
something else because I still feel like they're gonna try it because everything
they're doing is dumb because we shouldn't be there I mean the whole thing is
dumb period they're obsessed with these this old Brumsfeld doctrine of air war
and special forces which might work you know fighting Saddam's army that just
got over 10 years of sanctions and a war with Iran and was you know already
defeated but and we lost soldiers in that war to thousands it's just you you
can't just send in the Marines and be like oh like if they'll take a picture
like dude this isn't uh Hollywood okay you don't have the numbers they're dug in
they know you're coming you can't make big arrow moves in the age of satellites
and stuff and they absolutely are getting intelligence from China or Russia or
both it will fail it is a stupid plan if you try to amass more they'll hit you
in your staging uh area phase as the Israelis are getting smacked right now and
they're and they're right next to them right it's just you can't you can't do it
you can't master ground forces that's what you would have needed but you would
have needed them in place before you bombed them from the air which you did not
do so this thing is food bar you're just wasting money and lives and wrecking
the world economy except for Russia and maybe I was a bridge on the only two
benefits benefactors you know and that wasn't on purpose it's not like some plan
like oh yeah well like Simon probably said well the Russian donors must be
controlled because everyone's making money like no it's just a consequence of
their stupidity and having the straight clothes they thought they could get it
open they can't Trump thought if we destroy the Iranian Navy that the strait
would be open like dumbass the straits closed because of batteries on the land
that can sink ships not because of the Navy you retard but he has nobody
informing him of what's going on he's just making stuff up he wholesale just
lied and said I talked to the top guy no name from Iran like who is this I can't
tell you because they'll assassinate him but I'm talking to the top guy and
they're ready to make a deal and we're going to put this you know mutual
destruction of energy on hold for five days not a word of that is true he didn't
talk to anybody they're not getting rid of a nuclear program because they never
had one in the first place like all the stuff he said he's just making stuff up
I think he's got dementia and he's got no one around him and it's his own fault
he won't let anyone get near him other than Kushner and Wyckoff and Levine and
ding-a-ding-a-ding-a-ding and they don't know anything about war these are real
estate Yankees from New York they don't they're like maybe we could do this
they're like playing with stuff on a map like a bunch of kids there's no admiral
there's no generals there's no I mean I guess Kane who was a three star to just
they just made him a four star and he criticized Trump and then they started
ignoring him too like the the serious people aren't being heard and you can go
back you can go listen to like Judge Napolitano for example like Scott Ritter
Larry Johnson Ray McGovern Colonel Wilkerson myself a whole list Matt Ho we all
said they're Pepe Escobar they're gonna close the Strait of Hormuz they're gonna
run out of interceptors this is everything is happening now was said months ago
Pepe and I said this many years ago yes they can close the Strait of Hormuz the
freaking Houthis closed the Red Sea by themselves just Yemen okay yeah Iran can
hold that straight as long as it wants and you're lucky they haven't closed the
Red Sea yet they have 400,000 fighters in Yemen that are not active yet yeah
this is you have to just just while you have any leverage left just capitulate
to demand say okay you get a toll we'll pay some reparations we get our out of
the Middle East because Iran is not going to allow U.S. bases adjacent to their
country and these Gulf Arabs if they had half a brain which is questionable
would realize we are less safe by having U.S. bases here if you didn't have the
U.S. there no one would be attacking you yeah I mean what you just said there is
so true I mean this is what I'm saying like I'm a nurse figuring this out
because Suleiman has been saying it on his spaces this is I mean he's been
saying all this stuff was going to happen so this is how like I again as a
non-geopolitical expert knew what was coming in Iran because when we remember
Suleiman was doing the spaces before the attack because they kept saying they're
gonna attack they're gonna attack and we were talking about it and Suleiman was
saying that these things would happen so I don't know why they didn't they could
have listened to the space and they would have the answers there's that yeah
yeah he was saying it I was on this space and saying it with them like like this
not only are they going to attack but this is what will happen when they attack
spelled the whole thing out you look at the gear that each side has and this
this is all predictable consequence like yeah they're going to hit the Gulf
states of course they have to there's bases there they're not going to allow
them to sit there those bases are vulnerable and Bahrain and Iraq it's over I'd
add Kuwait to that too Bahrain Iraq and Kuwait you're gone you're not coming
back you got Qatar Qatar's not being hit as much because they told the US leave
and they did so they're like look we don't have beef with these Gulf states
other than the fact that they abet America's crimes but the UAO is just I don't
know they're like suicidal like what are you doing you're you on you understand
you're losing this there's nothing you can do like you need to get it with the
winning team and they're just sticking with America and America doesn't care
about them they only care about Israel and the faster they figure that out the
better but if you know if they're too slow to notice then they're going to lose
their wealth and it's not coming back and Ryan we over and over we've been
hearing oh what's up this America is not going to just back down like that
they're going to put up a fight no people don't realize and I know you can weigh
in on this it's already happened past tense United States has already removed
its footprint from the Persian Gulf we the fifth fleet no longer exists we we
might as well erase the fifth fleet it does not exist it's just scattered and
they're drawing assets from the third and seventh fleet which is very irregular
at the last minute so it's game over for for the US forces a float forward
projection of for forward projection and I think there was mutiny on the Gerald
Ford because that those fires so you realize they had the toilet problem before
any any shots were fired the people on that ship they've been out there for like
a month they're over it and so that's how they've been out there for a year
they've been out for a year yeah yeah excuse me yeah and it's almost a year they
went they're pushing 10 11 months and having done one of almost 11 month
deployment myself believe me you get to nine months number nine it's weighs
heavily on the psychological physical yeah it's it's very difficult yeah and
they're like oh we're gonna be out here another six months or whatever because
this could go yeah yeah I did a month on a naval boat and it was a long fucking
time you know let's say usually you you sail across the Pacific or the Atlantic
or whatever you stop at a port and you stay there for a while just staying out
at sea for extended durations is fucking brutal on those ships yeah I've been on
a boat for 24 hours like fishing trips and I'm ready to go and I've been on a
submarine for about three hours I was ready to get out I can't imagine a year
exactly and whether that happened I there's no doubt that there was an up we'll
call it an uprising there was probably a tremendous amount of I'll call it
malcontents but trust me the military chain of command that was shut down fast
the problem is the NCOs the backbone of our Navy and I know we've talked about
this I've talked about this with NCOs they are under tremendous stress to quell
it to put it under extreme discipline but here's the problem that commanding
officer now has a big problem on his hand and you know that carrier got hit we
know it did and now he's up there he's saying I'm combat ineffective I have a
major crew morale problem I'm now combat ineffective so exactly and it's just
it's just terrible it's embarrassing but hey I want to speak the truth I love my
Navy my God knows I've served my whole adult life full career but I don't want
my Navy to be destroyed by further destruction by a madman yeah and it's not
designed to fight land batteries you know only the quality or the full fight
support or whatever the phrase is it's there to sink other ships and to
transport stuff and to serve as like artillery from and and defense you you
don't go into a strait with guns all over the place and and for and what start
escorting slow-moving oil tankers like who what the this is not a this isn't
real life like this is just something you said to dumb investors like oh okay so
oil is gonna be free soon like no no it's not it's not until you surrender
exactly you don't even need like you can't even do jammers or anything because
they can spot those with optics alone just binoculars and trigonometry and they
can hit those ships and what are you gonna go find that in the mountains like
you cannot get that straight open other than to agree with Iran and after this
war is over I don't see why they have any reason to allow free flow traffic like
no there's a toll booth now and that's just how it is they can't take anything
they can't take the street they can't take the Karga Island they can't take any
other way there's no way of getting to Iran which is gonna succeed successfully
it's just way too difficult yeah you're not going across the Zagris mountain
you're not coming from the west and you're not coming from the north I just even
what you were mentioning because I thought about that even I think that's too
difficult as well personally but it's well the thing is America's not committed
the American public doesn't want this war if Trump's approval ratings like 15%
so they're not gonna stomach the level the level of casualties you would need to
get it done like America does have the firepower if they want to lose like
50,000 soldiers they could get in there yeah that's not happening so if you're
willing to basically consume a huge amount of life then the option that you're
referring to because I did think about this because I've been like planning all
this out I thought like now that's way too much loss of life they're not gonna
do it it's not possible and they're only sending right they're only sending like
what three to five thousand people it's just impossible all of these options are
impossible the straits impossible the Hormuz islands are impossible every single
one is just not impossible but it's impossible to take and then keep hold of for
a very long period of time which is what they're gonna need and somehow how
they're gonna deflect the missiles the drones that come from Iran it just simply
makes no sense whatsoever they've got no logical way of doing what they're doing
and this is just gonna be epic failure irrespective of what solution they go for
plus their allies are like we're not on board with that we saw Japan just
negotiate their way into getting oil without firing a shot I think I'm gonna do
that exactly although that the UK did send a nuclear-powered submarine I believe
I was a nuclear-powered vessel to to the region as well but again the public
won't stomach it but it just depends on how harsh Trump gets in terms of forcing
leverage to make sure that these countries basically jump in support but it
seems like none of them are willing to do so that subs probably doing circles
around Diego Garcia it's not clear that Iran hit that from Iran they could have
hit that from the sea they don't know where those shots came from or how well
they said it wasn't them and they haven't lied at the moment I've always told
the truth whenever they've done it because they've got no reason to lie they
could just be like yeah we hit Diego Garcia Brits are involved you're using it
they would just say it they've been hitting South they hit Saudi Arabia today
they're admitted they're hit um yeah they can hit Saudi Arabia but Diego Garcia
I'm like oh the propaganda came right after look they could hit any European
capital like well even if they could even if they could so well they have not
attacked anybody who didn't attack them exactly and for me it's not even an
issue if they could hear which again is up in the air because in reality as you
said they've only ever done it defensively and if they were and what it does is
it tells the European countries look don't get involved they're not going to hit
you but if you do get involved then you're going to feel the pain so if anything
I don't even see that as a negative right it's just it's them throwing stuff
against the wall to see what sticks they're like love will threaten your
European cap it's like the Saddam is in 47 minutes could hit you with VX gas and
anthrax remember that they're gonna bomb London they know he couldn't and he
wouldn't and yeah they're desperate which shows they really just don't have a
plan we're gonna blow up your energy like you're not because just do it then
don't announce it he's making these ultimatums to try and calm the market be
like don't worry we're gonna like say unless you open then we'll destroy all
your oil and they're gonna open calm the markets by saying that they're not
right like when after so this is something that's really interesting the there
was an anonymous trader that executed 1.5 billion in long S&P and 192 roughly
around that much in the short oil futures like was his name baron trump so look
that's wondering because the person did it within minutes of that of the oh
everything's great we got productive conversations right which Iran obviously
was like no we haven't even talked to them so and it's crazy because Trump
hasn't posted about this again at all and there's obviously been strikes you
know that's happened since then so this person ended up minutes before like they
had to be in the same room with him to know that he was gonna say that right
there's definitely they're gonna do insider trading because that is the nature
of these people they can't help themselves the only real actions he's took that
does lower oil is lifting sanctions on Russia and Iran and then Iran allowing
like India and Japan to get their oil that will lower the price a little bit but
it doesn't matter like if it goes from 59 to 111 and then it goes down to 83
you're still up more than 30 points like you're going from 29 points or more
it's still up uh you know it's floating between 80s 90s whatever like yeah
allowing Russian oil to flow at a premium price by the way does increase supply
and so that will lower the price some but you just cannot make up for around a
quarter of all the gas and LNG that came from the Gulf even if Iran starts
selling its own oil it doesn't have as much as Saudi Arabia and Kuwait and
Bahrain and Qatar and UAE combined there's a huge chunk and there's nothing they
can do other than in the war and even then a lot of this stuff is gonna be
offline for a long time and it's just gonna get worse and he's doing it all for
Israel it's like why are you here because Israel started a war you didn't ask
their navy to open the strait you asked Korea and Japan and China and you didn't
ask the Israelis they're the ones that started the war they're the ones that was
a problem with Iran these other countries were buying oil from Iran anyway he
just doesn't like they need to reign them in and they need to be like get rid of
Lutnik and Witkoff and Kushner and all these Zionist Jews that are in your ear
and talk to a human being who can set them straight like sir this is what you're
doing this is what you're about to do here's how you get out of it first of all
it was disrespectful anyway for them to send out Kushner and Witkoff to
negotiations with Iran I mean if you really think about it what type of
experience did they even have to make these kind of huge negotiations and look
at where we are in this war so those were not the people who should have went in
the first place from the first time that they ever went by the way guys real
quick please don't forget to hit the to like the stream guys please don't forget
to subscribe to the channel the YouTube channel the link is up there and
definitely like the stream hit the notification bell retweet and we share the
space thank you everybody thanks for saying that I just shared it because that
none I just shared it on mine you're right Witkoff and Kushner don't belong
negotiating anything I wouldn't hire these people's Walmart greeters no offense
to Walmart greeters but I wouldn't do that and it's a it's embarrassing if you
think of like Brent Skrokoff James Baker at least these were statesmen you know
even Henry Kissinger evil as he was can't call him dumb but when you get to
Jared Kushner Steve Witkoff especially they're they're morons that was the
middleman between Etan Wertheimer and Bernard Carrick on September 11th he also
worked openly with and tell you a good loop chick and all these mob figures like
Tony Salerno stuff the guy ought to be in prison Charles Kushner did go to
prison his son so far hasn't but like they're criminals they don't know what
they're doing remember when they went to the Ukraine and he couldn't name the
Oblask he didn't even know the Oblask in the Donetsk what they were called so
how can you be serious about any kind negotiation with Luhansk and Donetsk and
when you don't even know their names this long into the war because it was never
serious and these negotiations with Iran were nothing but stalling tactics so
they could hit them with periphery like they they knew there was no nuclear
program that was just something to say to the public this war has been planned
for 40 years it's on the list they're like we're going to Iraq Libya Syria and
then we're hitting Iran. as far as Israeli interest they want land annexation
and ethnic cleansing and Iran doesn't let them do it the US should have learned
when it had that seven week war with Yemen that he just said we won and left but
they kept firing missiles at Israel anyway and kept the Red Sea closed they
should learn right then. the finding out the finding out the finding out the
finding out the finding out the finding out phase should have happened but they
didn't the arrogant and hubris classic traits of you know 109 and they're you
know they're getting their just deserts I love this comeuppance I don't like
that they bombed a school for the girls but that's what they do and they're
raiding and they're raiding and they're raiding and they're raiding and they're
raiding the West Bank and they're bombing people in Beirut all that side of the
war is horrible but if you look at it a really callous cold you know
mathematical view in the long run this is a net positive there was no way to
solve the problem of the empire other than to physically take it to them and
destroy them. I gotta say I love the Iran's new zoning laws and in Israel just
below the West Bank they that was supposed to be Israel's new Silicon Valley.
Now it's just a valley. Love it. Not hilarious. It is it is hilarious. I I did a
dance I got out of my chair and did a jig. I was like this is the best ever.
They invested so much money in this smart city. And now it's just smoke. And
they're all right. They're all there with their somber faces like this is what
we go through as Israelis. You brought the sun yourself, you fucking child
raping maniacs. Ryan, I believe that the first MEU is going to be arriving at
the weekend. If you were to ascertain what what you call it again when he'll
start whatever plan he's got. When do you when do you see that happening? I have
to look at that like I'm I've been wasting so much time watching Hezbollah miss
missling tanks, but I'll get into that and me and you can do an update on
YouTube perhaps on that one. Sounds good. Sounds good. And Ryan in terms of a
lot of people in here. So it's really worth going through this. What's your and
from from your perspective where where do you think the next few days ago, not
in terms of that, but generally speaking the next video is just gonna be the
more of the same in the next five days. Well, rands putting out the big missiles
now so yeah, they're gonna hit they're gonna hit that area in Israel demona and
the more on Haifa compound that all day clusters on Tel Aviv. I think the will
they pretty much finished off Kuwait. So you're going to start seeing more
attacks in Saudi Arabia, because Saudi Arabia is running its mouth. So more of
that, I think they will continue to shoot down US aircraft. I think there'll be
a slowdown on the target packages in Iran itself, because they don't have as
many standoff munitions. So this is you're starting to see a first, you know,
Iran has had more people die, they've been bombed more, whatever, but
strategically, not significant targets. Whereas the US and Israel have been
losing their radar, they've been losing their interceptors, they've been losing
things can conducive to war, their airfields, their ports, you know, power and
so on. I don't think they are, I think they learned not touch and mess around
with energy anymore. And so back to military targets, they're going to clean up
the rest of Iraq, push them down into Jordan and start hitting Saudi Arabia,
they're not ready to slam Jordan quite yet. But the next coming days, you'll see
more hits in Saudi Arabia and more hits in the UAO. And Trump is just going to
whine and kvetch and complain and try and find some way out of this. And the
Israelis are continuing to, they're going to get smacked in the north. And
unfortunately, they're probably going to kill more civilians in Beirut. But
that's, that's how Israel operates. No doubt, no doubt. And just from a
perspective of the straight, many people, one of the conversations we're having
was whether they'd use the mines in the straight. Do you think that, do you
think they would do that or not? Well, you can have the remotely activated
mines. You don't want to mine a straight that you and India and Japan and Russia
are using, you know, you don't want to hit your own ships. So you'd have to have
the smart mines that you can decide what they land, but they don't really need
to mine it yet. Everyone's talking about mine and minesweepers. The shore
batteries are alone, as well as just attack some drones are enough. Oil tankers
are big and slow. You don't need to put mines everywhere just yet. So I agree. I
think that's a problem. I don't, I don't think that's the issue. They have
mines, but they're not, you're not even that far along yet. They can't resolve
the problem of the shore batteries and drones. So, you know, you can, those
mines are expensive. They don't need to use them yet. I agree. I was expecting
that to my audience. Like, why would you put the mines in first? First of all,
you can only, you can't use the normal mines because it just harms you. And then
the smart mines, it's, it's basically, as you said, costly. And it's just not,
like, if you look at it from a utility perspective, it makes no sense. Like the
amount of cost you're putting in, the amount of time and effort to get it right.
It's just not worth it when you put it anywhere. To hit a tank or a drone's
enough. They're already full of oil. It makes its own fireball. So you don't
need that big payload. Exactly. I agree. And, just bringing in from the, from
the Saudi perspective, I know they were hit quite hard today. Their bases. How
much more harder are they going to start hitting those oil bases? They need to
hit that harder than Lindsey Graham with a hamster. So very hard. They've been
very measured, actually. Like, that's my, I want them to hit it harder, but I
don't think they will. I think Iran knows the clock is on their side. And
incrementally, you know, they're watching. It's like they got the bullies out
of, out of wind. And they're just like slapping them instead of punching them.
It's actually more indignant. They're just like, I can do whatever I want.
You're toast. But they're giving them every off ramp. They're like, you're doing
this to yourself. And they're showing the population that too. It's like, look,
we gave your leader an out. They didn't take it. Oh, we gave them another out.
They didn't take it. It's going to make them very angry in the future. And it's
destroying the political careers of all these people after the fact too. This is
Iran, man. They're high IQ and they're fighting people with IQs in the eighties.
That's what happens. Well, I think you're exaggerating a bit there. He's in the
Gulf states have an IQ of 80. The only way they get IQ of an 80 if they've got
them made to take the test for them. But in terms of coming back to your
specific question, your point, Ryan, when you look at specifically the Strait of
Hormuz, and you look at the stranglehold that Iran has on it, the fact that
Trump has made this kind of, I don't know, demand, it's quite clear that he
needs the straight open. And so he's trying to take something in order to
leverage it. So I guess what I'm trying to ask is if he does attempt any form of
ground invasion, whether it's the idea that you think is the best, whether it's
the Strait of Hormuz, whether it's the Hormuz Islands or various others, do you
believe that this is going to be a legitimate ground invasion, or he will just
do a small expedition in order to leverage the opening of the Strait? It's a
thousand miles long, like he tried bombing the shoreline. I explained that like
six times. You can't bomb something the size of Vietnam and try and hit
something the size of a gun. It just doesn't work, especially when they're
mobile and they can just go underground and come back up again. He can't get it
open. If he does a large ground invasion, how it's logistically impossible to do
unseen. And if he does a small invasion, it won't work because it's not enough
forces. So he just doesn't. What are you going to try and take one of the
islands in the Gulf of Omen? Because you're not going to get it deep in the
Strait. That ain't happening. You could do. And then what? How do you hold it?
How do you resupply it? Like they're stuck there. It's a dumb idea. So, but
you're right in the fact that he needs something to have that he can leverage
and say, I'll give this back. If you give that back kind of thing. Like when the
Ukraine went into Russia and they were like, well, we'll get out of the curse.
If you, if you'll do this, it didn't work for them, but it was, you know, it was
an idea. It was a plan. They don't have any leverage right now. If you really
want to leverage, he could be like, look, if you open the Strait of Hormuz,
we'll quit aiding the Israelis. Then yeah. Okay. But he ain't going to do that
because he's on film fucking children. That's, that's no comment on that. But
just guys, by the way, we're live on X. Well, I think we've got like four or
5,000 people here. We're live on YouTube. I believe we've got like a thousand
people there. Uh, we've got, uh, Dan Blazeri, Maren Gaines and Ryan Dawson here.
Although I think, uh, Dan keeps glitching out, but he keeps coming back. So no
problem. Uh, we appreciate him coming on. Uh, I know he normally only comes on
and says, I'll just do it to boost your, boost your spend. That's cause Dan is
in a cave in Iran giving orders. Oh, that's why they do so well. That's why they
do so well. That's why they do so well. Yeah. That's why he's glitching out.
He's in the middle of a war. Okay. He broke the internet with his comment
yesterday. Uh, Dan and Scott Ritter have the best replies to people like, man, I
don't want to be able to see even into this, but it was just like, it's like,
well, you child molesting. It was like a spiel. And I'm like, man, that's my
energy right there. That's how I feel about these people. No mercy. I'm like
desalinate Israel. Like, go ahead. Wipe out the water. I don't care. It's not
like they die instantly. They can leave. They got the money to leave, like empty
that place. I'm on here, by the way. My shit just glitches out every now and
then, but I'm listening to you guys. No, I appreciate it, Dan. I was just
appreciating you and the fact that you'd come in and appreciate the fact that
you're standing with, uh, you know, standing against the Israelis, basically.
Yeah. Standing with justice. I was just talking about you earlier, Ryan. I said,
fuck, he's like, what's it like to, you know, I've been saying this for three
years and now finally everybody's getting around. I'm like, well, Ryan's been
saying it for about fucking 20 and my uncle's been saying it for 50, so. 30, 30
years up into this. Yeah. Since 1997. Uh, that's when I, they started canceling
me and everything. But it's just like, God, it really, the catalyst was 9/11
cause that led to Iraq, which led to Syria was led to October 7th, which leads
to Iran. Like you watch all the people they murder, the way they funded Al
Qaeda, they funded ISIS and all these terrorist groups all over the place. And
now they're getting their comeuppance. And these billionaires, Gulf Arabs are
just like, they're losing all their money and the crypto bros and only whores.
They're all like, what do we do? I'm like, who cares? There's a criminal
enterprise anyway. And it, what, what bothers me and also brings me a smile is
like all these people care all of a sudden. Like you didn't care when 71,000
people, mostly children were being murdered in Gaza, but gas is $3 and 50 cents.
So now, now you pay attention and like, cause it affected your life. And that
seems to be the general public. Like they, they can act like they cared when
kids were getting killed. They didn't really do anything. But when gas prices
went up, now it's a global reaction. And as we were talking, Tel Aviv is being
pummeled. Tel Aviv is being hit quite hard as well. So just to let you know, we
can talk politics, but Iran's doing the job, even as we speak. So appreciate
Iran smashing them up. You know, when, uh, when I honestly, when I see Tel Aviv
get hit with missiles, it makes me cry. Cause that's what happens when you laugh
too hard. Well, definitely. We have a lot of joy and celebration in this space,
uh, with a lot of boom, boom Tel Avivs and some other bish, bash, bosh, not
happening, but yeah, no one deserves it more. No, like if it was anywhere else,
they were like, Oh, come on. There's some civilians there, but with Israel,
there's doesn't, I don't care. No doubt. No doubt. No doubt. And they've got an
easy opportunity. They could just leave and go to the actual, where they came
from. All they got to do is free the hostages in this within. Yeah. Why don't,
why don't they just go? Why don't they just go to Egypt and Jordan? Huh?
Exactly. Release the hostages. Well, with them, it'd be Antarctica cause we
don't want to inflict that Egypt and Jordan. We don't want to inflict them on
Egypt and Jordan either. Maybe that's why Trump really wanted Greenland. He
needs the 110th home. Well, these morons, like every like actual anti-Semite I
meet. And I questioned them. Like, why, why like that? It's because of Israel's
behavior. And then they just pour that on Jews in general. Yeah. It's like the
main cause of anti-Semitism is the self-proclaimed Jewish state. Yeah. I agree
with you. Well, I don't like Israelis, man. You're like, well, not all. Like,
you know what I mean? I don't like. I mean, it's the vast. I don't like the,
they, they celebrate prison rape. And it is a super majority of the population
that is behind it. It's disgusting. I don't like. I don't like. Thank you. Thank
you. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Thank
you. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Thank
you.