Пересказ: США проиграют наземное вторжение на остров Харг

I got to toss them in the other room. >> Yeah. >> So, we got Ryan Dawson coming on for an interview. It's going to be great. We're going to get an update. It's been a few days since we've had an update from Ryan. So, this is going to be awesome. Great conversation as always. Ryan is a geopolitical expert on Iran. Well, a general geopolitical expert >> on the Middle East. Yeah. I did an update in your space, but those get lost in the ether. Yeah, >> exactly. Because they're going 247. But uh Ryan, thanks for joining us. Thanks for taking your time out. Give us uh Wait, let me make a picture. >> Shout out to Scott Horton today. I got was on sale. [laughter] >> Hilarious. Okay, we have Ryan Dawson. Ryan, give us an update on what's happening with Iran. [clears throat] >> We You can see the green. I I know you like seeing City Bank uh get bombed in Dubai.

I'm sure a lot of customers of City Bank didn't mind that. You know, >> they were part of the mortgage back security fraud in 2008 and a number of other things. Deeply tied to Trump personally. If anybody's seen Trump's Zinus ball and chain, they'll understand that. Uh yeah, it's just been [sighs and gasps] glorious in a sick kind of way. I mean, it's a war. It's terrible, but we know when the most evil entity on Earth is getting smashed, it's pretty much worth it. Um, I wish all those school children didn't have to die and all this suffering could go away, but in the long run, it's a net that positive because Israel's been murdering children basically every day since its inception anyway. Um, and man, doesn't it just make your heart melt to know that people in Gaza can look up at the sky and just see it coming down. Bam. And they're coming down at will. The uh, so let's see.

So much has happened. Like where to start? Well, okay. Last time I was on, we were talking about the Hezbollah attacking across the blue line. >> That's right. Yeah. >> Yeah. That continued Hifa is basically defunct. The port doesn't work anymore. >> Mhm. >> Their eyes and ears in the north have gone dark. Even their Leviathon uh uh gas rig out in the water got hit with a drone. their uh Bengorians getting smashed and a lot of IDF soldiers have then they've been hit by these cluster munitions, these anti-personnels. They're not releasing casualties. BB's missing. I asked people if they checked the sewers. Probably down there with a dirty mattress. >> Where's BB? >> Where is he? [laughter] >> I hope he's in more than one place if you know what I'm saying. [laughter] >> That would be a dream. I hope he's in many places [clears throat] as rain. Um, Iran did issue three demands.

So, well, this is like kind of they issued three demands, but the IGRC is like, "No, no, more than that." But the political arm uh made conditions for ending the war, but not really because they're there's no way they're [laughter] going to accept them, but the demands are such. So, one very um quite reasonable, but Trump can't do it, is that the US and Israel are going to pay reparations for all the damage they caused in Iran. >> Now, this is great if they even do a portion of that because Iran does need foreign currency because their own was basically wiped useless.

uh that's why they love sell they were started selling in yuan um Chinese currency because uh you know their own currencies kaput and why not get the main enemy of the US that's going to help bricks in general but yeah the US and Israel would have to pay in their own denomination to fix all the things they blew up and I think that should start with rebuilding schools >> and hospitals because they've hit both of them have hit both >> then um They demand it says it's worded in such a way of legal ease, but I'll just break it down that Iran is allowed to forward their weapons programs. That includes ballistic missiles. Uh that also includes their energy programs for nuclear power. So don't get on get off our back about that. We're doing that. You can't see anything. We have a right to defend oursel. We have a right to arm ourselves.

And the third one is that they need uh international guarantees that this won't happen again. Now, that one's vague >> because it doesn't spell out what those guarantees would be. >> But one has to assume that one of those has to be that the US removes its military presence from the Gulf States >> because that is the direct threat to Iran. Those bases have been destroyed anyway. and to say look you can't return or in just some minimal level maybe >> you can't come back and you know the Gulf states are going to need reinvestment they're going to when this is all over which you know this can go on for a month it could go on till September it can go on all day because although the US has run short and they will run out of standoff munitions and they basically completely run out of defensive interceptors doesn't really hurt the United states, continental United States.

I mean, they can Okay, fine. Our bases are blown up. Fine. The carriers are still there. We can still bomb you, but they're going to have to get in closer because they don't have enough tomahawks and standoff munitions, glide bombs, and so on to use, which means they're vulnerable to anti-air attack. >> We've already seen that first with the refueler shot down over Iraq by Iraq. Iraqi militias in Iraq got it. Iran, they gave them the the tip of the hat for doing it. Then five more. They said damaged, which is how do you damage a thing as fragile as a plane? Like [clears throat] >> they're destroyed. Five more on the Sultan base of Saudi Arabia. I think that was secret where it was, but whatever. I don't care. Um, >> I'm kind of like Ethan on Tik Tok. Here's the exact coordinates.

If you want to bomb where the nuclear facility [laughter] [gasps] >> I put his tweet up and then it went viral and then he got banned. It sucks. He's got another channel and he already has more um followers than his old one that's a year old. So >> nice. >> That's what it takes. You just got to be the right person to share your stuff. But he has a right to do that. It's not treason or anything like that. Israel's a parasite. It's showing where Israel's weapons were, not America. >> Exactly. >> Even if they're Americanmade weapons. So what? It's Israelis that have them. Israelis that use them. Israel started the war. >> Israel is a pariah state of God's chosen lunatics. They deserve to blow up and die in hell. You know, they've got Trump over a barrel with Epstein. Is this Epstein's fury? Apac is should be illegal. Should be registered under FAR. Shouldn't even exist.

>> I fully support showing where Israel's vulnerable. >> Why not? [laughter] >> But so those are the demands. And now the US is Trump a few days ago said he would only accept total surrender. He's going to have to backpedal from that. >> He's getting a lot of pressure from his allies. especially basically and Kavor said this too and you should have him on. He said closing the straight of Hormoose was Iran's own Samson option. >> Yeah, >> he's kind of right. It's not instantaneous. And this uh explains also all these people are like why doesn't Iran why don't they just unleash like all the hypersonic missiles and blow Israel up in a day? Well, when you look at it, the clock's on their side, right? The US and Israel are bleeding. They're getting pressure from their allies, especially at East Asia, Japan, South Korea, >> um, China, too.

You know, even though they're allowing some ships, it's still reduced dramatically. Um, [clears throat] and it's it's forced them to lift sanctions on Russia, which a lot of the Democrats really hate. >> Boohoo. I think we should never have had sanctions on Russia. I don't think there should have been a war in Ukraine. All that was dumb. It's um you know supposed to be uh you know the majority of US politicians think Russia is like big evil. It it threatens US hedgeimone whatever but you're making them richer than ever. So they love it. Russia and Azar Bjan have benefited from this war more than anyone because they're >> that's who gets to sell the most oil and uh liquid gas. Qatar has been taken off the completely taken off and so has Iraq.

M >> so that basically is like Russia and Australia for gas number one and two but Australia is so cocked they're going to take their proceeds and help bail out the Gulf States. >> Unbelievable. Now you know who's banging kids. So uh Trump's got a lot of pressure and he really hasn't accomplished anything. It's like yay you got oil up to what $94. It was over 111 at one point. This is from 5960 before. Uh he's his big mouth has talked about several different ways of reopening the street. Started with escorts. Even the French jammed it. And then they re I guess they an adult talked [snorts] to him and said, "Sir, we can't do that." >> Then he's like, "We'll send in the Marines.

2500 Marines." Like, "Sir, you need to add another zero." >> [laughter] >> like >> you know you need like 250,000 Marines which you don't have um even the army would that would be tough to get 250 300,000 guys >> and stage them where and in the age of satellite warfare you just can't do that without everyone seeing it coming and then being harassed and so on. Then he talked about, well, okay, we're going to we're going to raid Crag Island and you know, like Iran didn't know that was coming. >> Yeah, that's like four Eimas, you know. Fun. The only way to get them there, by the way, would be those Osprey tilt rotors. I guess it's kind of like a helicopter hybrid. >> You'd have to drop them off because you can't get into the straight aquatically. You I mean, you can try, but you're going to get hit with >> the land batteries. So, and the little drone. Oh, it's just a mess.

You'd lose everyone before they arrive. So, if you're gonna double it, let's say 5,000 Marines, >> that's a lot of air that you got to transport over. Some of them are going to blow up in the air. And when they get there, they're dug in and defended. And then what do you end up with at the end? Even if you secure the oil, you can't send it anywhere. So, what's the point? Kind of low op. They're just trying to find something doable and call it a win and and find an off-ramp. They don't have one. Um I mean, they don't have one without losing faith. They could admit Israel dragged us into this. We can either keep digging a hole or just say, "Look, we blew up the Navy. We stopped the nuclear program. That's that was our goals. We win. La walk off. >> Go ahead." Because there never was a nuclear program. And the Navy was never the threat that of Iran's navy was doesn't matter.

It's always been the ballistic missiles. So, >> they can't get those. >> Yeah. So, I just want to go back to the Carag Island. Uh, that's been the big talking point. That's meant to be the kind of mode by which there's boots on the ground. You're right in saying that there's apparently about 5,000 troops. They're going to try and get in there via a helicopter. I believe the IGC has maybe 1,000 to 3,000 troops there. >> Well, see, they are basing that on a paper from 1986. So they have no clue >> that that's a thousand men, thousand soldiers, and however many workers, say another thousand >> from the 1980s who whatever that intelligence is useless. >> You think there's more? >> Yeah, because they've seen this war coming for a long time. >> Okay. >> And you have the 80s, the 90s, 2000, 2010s, 20s. I mean, >> yeah, I think there's more. >> Okay.

So they basically are going to try and land into Caraj Island via helicopter. You're going to have Iranian soldiers there and there's going to be a battle on the ground. Uh the reason to take take the carage island is because you obviously you can't transport the oil but it's to take control over Iran's oil and try and bleed them back because uh a large proportion of Iranian oil goes through there. They can re uh calibrate it, go elsewhere, but the problem with that is that you're going to lose about 50 to 70%. So, it's more about hurting Iran probably and just claiming victory. So, what's your thoughts on how how that plays out >> and what does Iran do? >> Before it's a ground battle, you got to land them there. You're going to lose offspring in the air and every just bang, all of them dead. >> You can have suppressive fire. I mean, they already bomb the island.

>> So, they didn't bomb the energy though. They left it there because they're afraid to death if they blow that up then >> kiss the Saudi oil fields goodbye. >> So you can't touch it and you can't and they could actually use that like they could actually fire from it because you can't fire back. Like if you hit it, you're toast. >> Um they're dug in and they're not going to sacrifice too many but it's enough to take these out. Like if you come in and you got to get off of there too, >> they can easily hit you with ballistic missiles. Like once you like let's say you take it and try and hold it. How are you going to hold it? They're going to pepper you. >> Um it's a dumb plan. It's some G.I. Joe Heg Seth plan. It seems like it doesn't make sense. Like we've had all these war games before and that is some like was already suggested and already countered in all the problems with it.

But they don't seem to look at any of these war game exercises or all the >> all the logistical problems of sending the Marines in to take that island. U especially if you can't leave from Kuwait or or Iraq because those airfields have been destroyed. >> Then, you know, the longer the trip, the more at risk you are. >> Now, they also were saying, well, we're going to come in from the sea. Like [clears throat] from where? Can't use by rain. you'd have to come into the straight. You can't even get oil tankers out. Like that those boats full of Marines would be the only target. Like everything would focus on those. >> You're not getting in there. >> Um and you could lose them all. >> I It's so stupid. I don't want to lose all these young men. Yesterday like one of the uh one of the six on the refueler that was shot down over basically it ran into another refueler.

really too >> um was he had a twoyear-old child and twin seven-month-olds. Now they don't have a dad. >> Like, yeah, he died for Israel, refueling planes. >> And it's like, well, you know, you were refueling planes that were bombing other people and their children, so you got to look at it like that. But it's I feel bad. You got to look at the war like these it's the weirdest thing. Like people, dumb order followers, like they have families. They're like otherwise good people. They just do. They think they're fighting for their country or the constitution or that Iran was about to attack us or whatever lie they've been told. >> Well, I'm not sure how it is in the US. Well, I'm not sure how it's in the US, but in the UK, what happens is like a lot of workingclass kids end up joining the army or the Marines because they're like, "Okay, this is going to give us a good career.

We'll be on a decent salary compared to in our local area where the opportunities and the pay isn't there." And so in reality, for a workingclass person, it becomes almost like the only choice a lot of them have. >> There are a lot of FHS's >> that [ __ ] up in high school, >> so they end up in the military >> because it's less indignant than flipping burgers at a fast food joint, >> so they just join the army of the Marines. And of course, they don't say that. They're like, "Oh, I'm, you know, all the more glorious reasons." But it's mostly >> welfare for screw-ups. Like, yeah, you can join the army at least. like um but there's others that just couldn't afford college or whatever and they go and some because their family's in the military so they're in the military.

There's a whole bunch of different reasons like all they're all different of why you end up in there, >> but there is definitely an economic incentive and even um since the second Gulf War, George Bush did this. It's a path to citizenship for illegals like well if you'll join if you'll be cannon fodder you get get to cut in line >> become a citizen. So there's different incentive for different groups >> but a lot of it a lot of it is just um the highest paying job a poor person can get. Okay. And now going back to the uh military um situation, uh you mentioned that they're running out of defense interceptor missiles. A, where are they at that? And B, what's happening with Iran? Are they able to hit all these countries quite easily now? >> Well, it's hard to tell because their radar was blown up.

So even if they did have the interceptors, they're useless because without the radar, they don't work. So, it's I'm not sure whether it's because they ran so low that they ran out or because they're shooting in the dark. So, they want to save them until they can repair that radar. I'm talking about northern Israel in particular >> cuz even drones, which are you can hit drone, you don't even need you can hit a drone with a lot of things. They're just cutting right through. Kabam, kabam, kabam. And it's a total lockdown in media, but it's getting out anyway. And there's a lot of fake stuff out too, but whatever. Israel's locked down. They had a bunker collapse. The ceiling caved in. >> They call it a shelter. >> It's not a shelter. It's a bunker. It's got soldiers in it. A shelter is for civilians. >> They do have shel air raid shelters. Those are not being targeted.

>> Those aren't very deep. If they were targeted, they'd be destroyed. There they they work for like uh the kind of like Kusha rocket. It's not even a real missile from say Hamas or something, but they it wouldn't matter. If a ballistic missile hit that, >> they'd all die underground. >> So, um, just coming back to it. So, they're struggling to defend themselves. Is Iran's able to hit them up. Something that happened today was the UAE. So, the carriage island and obviously, you know, if you want that, you're going to be like, "This guy only talks about Paris news." >> Hey, it's part of the war. >> Yeah. So um what happened was obviously the carage island the uh foreign minister of Iran as well as the IGC came out and said that actually uh UAE has been used to directly attack Iran. They used um Russell Kima and they used a place close to Dubai.

They said where they >> they have in fact I heard the UAE was saying bring it on Iran. Bring it bring on your worst. That's what they were saying right? I mean I mean they can say that but we know they can't back that up. But they fired from these two main location. >> Exactly. [laughter] >> But I heard they said it. >> Moran. >> Yeah. Yeah. I think I think I think they're trying to say they could take you around. I think you need to show them. Um and they told and they said they don't like Shia as well. Anyway, jokes. But anyway, coming back to it. They um so they said they fired from those two locations in densely populated areas in order to hit Iran. So Iran said, "We're going to respond aggressively. We're going to hit your ports. We're going to hit your military bases and we're going to hit the locations you fight from. What's happening with that? And what's your thoughts?

>> Usually when Iran says they're going to do something, they do it. >> So I there's nothing complex there. That's what they're going to do. >> I guess I'm trying to ask why has you like the with the other countries, they're complicit, but they're kind of trying to hide it. Use a bit of our airspace, but we're not really involved. But with the UAE so blatantly firing from their country, I mean this is them joining the war in an kind of more progressive manner. >> Well, there was an incident where uh distillation plant was hit by the Israelis which they tried to blame on the UAE and the UAE is like no no it wasn't us because they don't want their own being hit. >> Which makes you think what a great friend. They're trying to get your water destroyed. >> Exactly. >> Israel doesn't care about these Gulf Arabs. They just used them as they're Oh, so this reminds me >> and this would suck.

They are talking about mobilizing al-Qaeda and Syria to hit Lebanon. Therefore, since the IDF uh the diaper force was getting their that ass whooped, they want to get the Wahhabi Sunni Salifist types to go in there and die for them. >> Yeah. >> The problem there is Galani doesn't actually have a unified force anymore >> because these are all mercenaries. They're being paid by Turkey, but then Turkeykey's being paid by a bunch. So really this coalition of financers, but they have divided and are fighting each other. So how well al-Qaeda can reorganize to go into Lebanon, don't know. What would be hilarious is if they break that barrier and Hezbollah invades Syria instead >> or he takes a piece of Syria because the Lataki region was never really taken. It's the only thing left. It used to be the opposite. Only Idlib was al-Qaeda. Well, now they have everything except Latakia.

>> And so there's still SAA there. There's and that's, you know, it's there's no um mistake why that's in Western Syria. It also has a Russian base there. Uh the only Russian naval base on the Mediterranean, by the way. >> So uh but that's that's just my dream. But that could be a problem. Um Hezbollah has shown it can take on the Israelis all day every day. But if you add in, and we don't know what the force would be because they're not not unified, but if you add in al-Qaeda, what I hope they do it in a way just to show the world, look, Israel and al-Qaeda are on the same team always. >> Yeah, exactly. >> That they even floated the idea which lets you know they can do such a thing shows the partnership. It's you and I know that's always been the case. >> I agree. I agree. I had a debate. people know what actually happened on 911, they would understand. >> Exactly.

No, no, you're totally right. In complete agreement. Um, so coming back to what's b uh in terms of the specifics of the war from Iran's perspective, how much can they sustain this uh these attacks? I mean, the bomb the attacks on them have become ferocious. I saw a video today where the US fighter jets were kind of a bit more closer to Iran. I know the risk is it could be shot down but again Iran has the risk where they need to calculate whether they want to risk shooting down and then showing their locations as well. So it becomes a bit of a complex calculation. Uh so what's your thoughts on that? >> Economically it's devastating which is why I think the first demand was reparations for everything you destroy. It's a way of saying the more stuff you blow up the more you're going to have to pay for later >> because you're going to lose this war.

the kind of things they're hitting aren't of strategic value battlefield wise. >> They're not hitting like ballistic missile salvos or something. They're just hit they're blowing up buildings and infrastructure and whatnot. It it's not that important as far as mitigating their ability to commit offense. M. >> So, it's just more stuff you're going to have to pay for later. >> But, it is a huge um bill at the end of this because you're going to have to build rebuild everything. It does lower the standard of living for your citizens. So, they're going to have to rebuild it. >> It is hilarious to do this to Trump, too. Say, "We're going to rebuild this and Trump's going to pay for it." Is what he was saying about Mexico. >> Exactly. >> That's hilarious. >> Get in here. Get in here, Kushner. Let's build this up. You're not going to build anything in Gaza. You're going to rebuild Tan. M okay.

And now uh my audience want to ask you this, but uh I got to I got to ask it. Where's BB? Where is [laughter] >> I heard [clears throat and cough] he was in that bunker that collapsed and got injured in his vagina. [laughter] >> But what what is your thoughts? I mean, there's two prevailing thoughts that he actually popped. >> So, the six fingers stuff is not true. They took uh a video that may or may not have been AI, but they took his video and then took frames out of it and then ran that through AI and created six fingers, >> right? >> Because you cannot freeze frame anywhere in that video where his hands are like that. So that's garbage. >> But often they put garbage out in front of something real >> to to create that baby with the bathwater effect. >> He hasn't shown his face. He hasn't said anything. People think he's dead. I hope not. I hope he's suffering.

I hope he lost his legs, his ears, and his eyes. He's on a feeding tube somewhere. >> Possibly going to a conscious coma like Ariel Chiron. >> Yeah. >> If that happened, I'd now I'd become a Shia and I'd believe in God. [laughter] >> So, if all that happened. >> Yeah, exactly. So, just um obviously there is two possibilities. One is that he's either severely injured and or dead. The other one is that he's maybe in some kind of underground bunker, obviously using a green screen and therefore he can't provide real evidence that he's alive because anytime he does, people are going to think it's AI. He needs to be in a public situation in a public place amongst people. So to verify that he's still alive, but I think because he might be in a bunker in a random country, he's not he's probably not able to produce >> a bunker in Germany.

I think um he can't do any kind of live stream from anywhere. He's afraid of electronic signal because he knows >> he knows China or Russia will get it and give it to Iran and he'll get targeted. He'll get a missile out the best. He may have injured his face so he can't show himself at all. >> Uh any kind of wound or he could be dead. >> But I don't think he's dead because if he had died, we all would have heard the angels singing outside simultaneously around the world. So would would have felt it in the force. he would just feel evil leave, you know. >> Yeah. Yeah. >> Um and but the Israelis, if you look, they look very nervous in their meetings and he's not there. >> He's out of security meetings. >> So, he's been hit or he's just in the corner crying. Like, he does not have a way out of this. And I'm sure Trump is like, "What the you dragged us into war, you said blah blah blah.

It's not going like that at all." M >> he's still sticking to the script publicly but behind closed doors. He's got to give him a baiting because if America walks >> that's the end of Israel because Iran's not going to stop that there what I said their plan to stop the war only meant with America. >> Yeah. >> There is no plan of ending the war for Israel. >> But then America would never agree to it. >> At one point they're going to have to. Now, America would have to have some condition like you have to stop bombing Israel >> and then Iran will counter offer with kiss my ass. [snorts] >> I mean, okay, you know what? They do have something they can say, okay, lift all sanctions. >> Yeah, lift all sanctions, give the, you know, remove the settlements in the West Bank, possibly give the Palestinians a state.

These could be the uh demands in order to remove the uh, you know, to stop bombing Israel. But sorry, you just mentioned sanctions, but sanctions one part of the threepoint plan. >> No. >> Well, that's weak. Don't you think that's a major issue for them? >> Well, I mean, if you if you're making reparations for all the things they blew up. It's plenty of money. Um, I don't think they want to sell to Europe in the US. I think they're they're moving east. They're selling everything to Asia. Um, but yeah, the the sanction there's other, you know, on Swift and on certain individuals. That's something they did not demand. >> So, I thought they'd include that. That may be the the counter offer to stopping the violence for Israel. >> Well, yeah. I think the sanctions should be the minimum. I think that's going to be a mistake if they don't have that in there.

>> That I think getting out of the Gulf, too. And that's kind of done, don't you think? They definitely can't go to Bahrain. They don't want it. >> What? Well, I think the Gulf the [snorts] You're right. the presence has been minimized. I don't think the presence will end because you know my view on that I think these Gulf states are subservient to the United States of America. They're such weak people and as you know better than anyone else Saudi Israel and the United States of America are so integrated and interlin for decades that a they almost won. And the second thing is because the CI MOSAD is so integr integratively linked. So more like MBS fears that he'll get the King Fest treatment that he could just be assassinated at any time. And that >> I agree with you actually on Saudi Arabia. I guess I'm thinking more Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, uh Iraq.

They have very weak presence in Iraq and never should have been there anyway. UAE and Saudi Arabia are so cocked, but >> look, the investment won't return. And they can say, look, we're just, they never said we're ending this, we're lifting the siege on Hormuse either. They just said we'll stop the war. >> You want that? Well, lift sanctions. I mean, that could be an option as well. They left quite vague. They just here's the three demands, but they, you know, when you say things like genuine guarantees, okay, what kind of things are those guarantees? How they left it up. I think they realize you can't negotiate with the US West. Yeah. You can only negotiate with power. So, this isn't even It's really This is our demand. It's not a negotiation. You're going to do this or we're going to keep bombing you. >> Yeah. Yeah.

And um this is the problem I've got, Ryan, that I can't see an end in sight because of Israel. I think the US and Iran could make a deal, but I just think Israel's control over the United States of America is never going to allow a deal to be made. >> It kind of depends on the reaction of the US public. If if it looks like they're all saying get rid of all these Republicans for the midterms, then Trump has to react to that. He's not going to react to anything moral or makes economic sense or that doesn't matter. but he doesn't want his party to lose >> because then he'll he will get impeached and he could go to prison. >> So he does have to worry about that. So if you live in America, you need to be making some noise like in this war this is stupid. We're losing soldiers. This is for Israel. We gain nothing. I'm voting Democrat.

Even if you're not, just say you are >> because that's how you get out of the war. >> Yeah. True. Although I do, you know, my my view on this is I actually don't think he'll get impeached. I think that is I think part we know the Democrats and the Republicans are bought off by Israel and so this probably would have been some kind of assurance he was given by them that he would never get impeached even if they lose everything. >> I I don't know like he'll get impeached. Will he get will that impeachment get confirmed in the Senate is the problem? Maybe not. But the Congress will impeach him. >> Yeah. >> I don't think it'll be confirmed in the Senate because I think he's got guarantees. That's why he went >> even if so that's going to cost him a lot of bribe money to get the votes to not impeach him. So make him spend it, you know. >> Yeah. Yeah.

>> And he his party will lose power and he won't be able to get anything else done on his agenda. So >> that's true. >> It's more than that. >> Yeah. >> That's true. >> They'll turn on him, too. And they're like, I lost my seat because of you. You know, they'll turn on him. >> That's true. That's true. >> The other thing it does is it makes Thomas Massie like a contender for president. I think it makes him this war has if anything put him on the front >> and Epstein I mean I'd vote for him Thomas Massie and anybody he could have a lawn chair for his running mate. I still vote for him. >> Exactly. And I think those two issues are so important to Americans uh that he would basically place himself in a very important position to win.

You have to remember that even the Democrats have kind of been pro-war and so has the Republicans and he would actually be the anti-war president or or candidate, sorry. And then the big guy being behind Epstein and then working with Roana and the Democrats, he's kind of he has got a very good chance of winning. What's your thoughts? >> I think he, you know, he needs financing, so we'd all have to get by. He's got to win his race in Kentucky, stay in Congress. I think he will even though they're spending millions and they're outspending him, >> you know, six, sevenfold, >> but and only people in his district can vote in that. >> So, and it's a super conservative area, but >> he can win that if if he had the financial backing. >> He'd win. Like, he wouldn't be going up against Trump. He's term limited anyway, so it would be JD Vance, I suppose. And he's got the machine behind him.

But this the longer this war goes on, the more they bleed and the better the anti-war person looks. So this is in a disgusting way serendipitously the best thing ever. It's the destruction of Israel is getting an anti-war candidate possible for president. It's the depletion of US standoff rounds and interceptors. It lowers their might and power and leverage across the globe. >> Uh and without that many casualties. So it's like done in the best way possible. Yeah, this is true. The end of the US empire may be happening right now. Um Ryan, one last question. Uh what do you expect to happen in the next uh few days? >> More of what we've seen. No dramatic changes unless they really do that marine raid. That's going to be a disaster. I think it's a bunch of talk. I think it's kind of like the escorts, but >> yeah, they're so dumb. You never know.

Like you can't really base these things on what makes sense cuz like well they don't make sense. So you it's all all that stuff they mount off is possible. You're going to see heavier missiles. >> Um with Hifa out, you might see West Jerusalem start get targeting and Deona. Um and they'll leave the northern Israel to Hezbollah. They got that. Um and there will be more bombings in the UAE. Uh more more fireballs in the UAE. Sick of that smile. >> Yeah, exactly. And actually my I'm just reading this. They're saying uh they're saying Massie Dawson 2028. That's the ticket they want. Um but just >> dude, make make me the attorney general. >> Yeah, exactly. So um you mentioned about Deona. That was actually one thing I was going to ask you. When do they start targeting Deona?

I know yesterday they were targeting to the Negv which is the air base and they've got some nuclear capability there as well. Uh is they going to start hitting negative a bit more harder? Are they going to go for Deona? What's your thoughts? Well, their like their craft that can actually deliver nuclear weapons is actually in Jerusalem. Deona is where they is where they have their their power plants and their uranium 235, but >> um it's not like you hit that and it blows up. It's not I mean, well, a power plant you could cause a fision reaction. You don't want that. That would kill a bunch of civilians. But if you want to get rid of their capacity to hit you with bombs, you got to hit West Jerusalem. >> Interesting. >> Um and it's right there near the coast. Um, we showed exactly where it is. You could target that. >> It's not with Hifa gone. That's two two ports down.

Benurian, if you keep pressure on there, that'll become unusable and they can't resupply. Like, they're going to have to capitulate. >> They they can lie about the damage and casualties until they can't. >> And it's a lot worse than what they're letting on. >> No doubt. No doubt. Now, one last question. I know I said it before about the ground invasion. We've talked about carriage islands. What about what's your actual thoughts about these two things which is real ground invasion through Iraq a proper 500,000 maybe even more army of a ground invasion and or and or them using a nuclear bomb. >> It's like oh we're going to send in the Kurds. That didn't happen either. >> Yeah. >> Uh going in on the ground is a logistic nightmare. It would take months to prepare. >> I don't even know if you could get in northern Iraq. you might have to start in Saudi Arabia.

>> Uh if they decide to do that, we'll all see it coming and they'll be harassed the whole time. And I it's just that No, I don't see that happening. >> Nukes, oh, Israel would do it. I think America right now, like they can't justify, they can't even justify what they're doing without a nuke. M >> and you know for Israel to start a war and lose and so America nukes Iran that would be the end of all non-prololiferation everybody would be racing to get the bomb. >> Yeah they would. >> And it would be it's a real risk of clapback. Iran can build a nuke and use one on Israel. >> So I almost want a nuke. No. It's um I think that's off the table. Uh Trump doesn't like the n-word. He really I honestly think he thought this was going to be like a 48 hour war kill like another Venezuela. He did not want a war war. >> He's it's contained to an air war.

Mouthing off about troops on the ground is Heg Seth and Kusher. There's weasels in his ear. They all have no idea what they're talking about. >> You don't have you don't have a staging ground. You don't have it's you can't just put in a half a million soldiers and go across the Zagris mountains. Like I mean you can but no you cannot. >> Uh the public will isn't there? It's an unpopular war. You look how unpopular we get when you get 30,000 casualties. >> Forget about it. And why doesn't Israel send their marines to the island >> or their army into Iraq? >> Well, this is a question. Exactly. Well, this is the question that those Americans who are supporting this, are they not waking up to the fact that even the if they do go to Carage Island and or they do this grand invasion, why is there no Israeli soldiers doing it?

>> Because they're [ __ ] and they just why I mean their soldiers are doing it. They send in the [ __ ] Go die for us, Goyam. >> They hate you and they use you and you go anyway. You're going to lose your sons >> for what? Iran was not a threat to the United States at all. This is not in our national interest at all. But there's some people they just hate the Muslims. And what's the ironic thing is like some of the say like rape and whatever in the UK and here and there and terrorist attacks almost exclusively Sunni never from Iran. You can't just be like the Muslim because a Muslim from anywhere did a thing so therefore we have to invade Iran. doesn't make any sense at all. Uh it's like blaming Christians in Sudan, killing each other and saying, "Well, that's what Christians everywhere do. It doesn't work." But they a lot of it's prejudice.

They they're thinking, "Where are they getting these missiles from? They built them themselves. What are you talking about?" Like, "No, no, they're just like sand durka derka, right?" >> No, Iran has a higher average IQ than the United States. um maybe not every individual state, but higher than the average of the United States and way higher than the rest of the Middle East, including Israel. >> Yeah. Yeah, I agree. And you're right. You >> that's just a fact. There's nothing to disagree about. Like that's a fact. The only people outpacing Iran is East Asia. >> Yeah, this is true. This is true. uh and maybe some of these uh European countries as well uh like the Nordic countries. But yeah, I >> yeah, sometimes Finland does, but uh yeah, it's kind of a tie. It's really just like it's Singapore, China, Japan, Korea. >> That's right. >> Are always the top five.

And then it's like Finland, Estonia, and Iran. Like those are the other ones. >> Yeah, true, true. Ryan, obviously always >> who's closest to Asia. [laughter] >> No, bro. This guy, bro. uh Asian this guy's got Asian supremacy. This is a problem. But uh I don't believe >> well you know what it is is they had a rule against [ __ ] your cousins and that matters like not in breeding does have better genetics. >> I agree. >> Not a racial thing or any of that just they didn't they way they had it is they got that out first. So another big thing is if you look at it like Norway, Finland and Japan got rid of leted gasoline first. >> Letted gasoline did drop IQ points by about 10 points. >> True. sometimes it's an environmental thing >> and also the East Asian countries uh basically their haram system didn't basically take out the best of the female population out of the genetic pool as well.

They had an specific edict. So there was many things that they did that over time benefited the IQ. I completely agree with that. >> There's a thing I think Andrew Tate would agree with this like the more feminine you are the worst driver you are. >> So who are the worst drivers? Asian women. And who are the most feminine? Asian women. There you go. >> That's crazy. Okay. Um, Ryan, thank you so much for joining us as always. Really appreciate you guys. You need to be following this guy. Listen, even the giant alphas, you need to be following him. His website is ryan dawson.org. Y, >> that is the best website you need to be on. You need to be following. >> You can get this shirt, too. This [ __ ] Israel with the red triangle. I got those. Anti-neo.com. You can get that gear. We've got the Hamas triangle. You know those targeting videos where we go doom when you put the red. >> Yeah. Yeah.

I mean, we're on TikTok, Ryan, and their cortisol levels are going to go too high, so let's not put them through these kind of experiences. But you can check this out on his website, which is anti-neocon.com, and his other website, ryanawson.org. Do join his Substack. It's only $65 a month. It's almost free, and you support his work. You can subscribe for free, but if you want to support his work, which you should be doing, then >> it's voluntary. You can you can sign up for free. If you miss these update, like this video will go on there. Yeah. >> Other updates go on there. And I'm listen all that Epstein everything is on that site. >> Stuff that's not getting out because I have to put it somewhere. There are still subpoenas. There are still uh hearings going on. Let's been subpoenaed. The Clintons just did just fell in their face. Uh, so don't let this Epstein story die.

Epstein fury can go on, but never let them off the hook for this international ring of child raping and money laundering that the biggest scandal of our era. >> Yeah. Yeah. Brilliant. So do subscribe to I mean I I know you can do it for free, but I would advise you to subscribe to him. In addition, >> if you subscribe to me, it will physically give pain to Lindsey Graham. >> Okay. Now you're encouraging >> every every time I get 10 subscribers, Randy Fine gets slapped in the face. >> No, but now you're now you're basically encouraging them not to subscribe to you because their concern is that by giving Lindsey Graham pain, he may enjoy it because he's such a freak. So I don't know. You're confused. >> Well, now the the hamster type of pain. The pain. [laughter] >> It's like it's like him watching a happy married couple. That kind of pain. [laughter] >> Hilarious. Okay.

And guys, do follow him on on his ex as well. It's Ry Liberty on X. Give him a follow on his ex as well. Ryan, appreciate you as always. Very close to >> I appreciate you, dude. This is why I do your spaces almost exclusively and we'll get these war updates. We'll have another one tomorrow >> for sure. >> I have a bunch of stuff I've been working on, but not confirmed. So, I might have a big update tomorrow because we got a lot of stuff with Hezbollah. >> That's awesome. And look, Ryan's a really close friend of mine and uh he is an awesome person as well. So, do try and support him. I'm not just saying. I know I said to all my guests like follow this stuff because it's the right thing to do. But with him specifically, he's actually a very close friend of mine. I rate him a lot and I do want you guys to follow him. Thank you. >> Come back to the to the land of the elves.

>> I'm definitely coming. What? Listen, Iran wins. We're celebrating in Japan or Korea. Whichever one you choose, Ryan, we're going >> Oh. Oh. When they win, >> we're all coming. >> Either one is fine. Japan or Korea. Either one. >> We're going N. We're going Nara. We're going to go deer hunting. >> All right. Yeah. You know what? We we'll get we'll get Takahichi. Yeah, we'll celebrate. [laughter] >> We'll do it. It's gonna be awesome. >> Three of us don't drink, but we'll do that. >> Exactly. Exactly. Much love to you, Ryan. Appreciate you. Thank you so much. I'll check you in a bit. >> Peace. >> That was Ryan Dawson. What a legend. Appreciate him. And he is uh a very close friend of mine like I